Showing posts with label ICICI Bank. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ICICI Bank. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Bank Nifty / Bankex Review - Buy on declines


Top 5 Private Sector Banks - Buy on declines

We have done detailed analysis of the Q3 results of private sector bank and following is the summary of our Report.

One week returns

Bank Nifty 3.25%
HDFC  4.76
ICICI 2.96
Kotak 6.03
Axis 2.16
Yes 5.28

One month returns

Bank Nifty - 19.85%
HDFC 14%
ICICI 22.44%
Kotak 16.53%
Axis 26.50%
Yes 38.39%

3 months returns

Bank Nifty - 3.02%
HDFC  4.83%
ICICI 3.64%
Kotak 3.14%
Axis -2.50%
Yes 8.25%

Six Months returns

Bank Nifty - 2.12%
HDFC  6.95%
ICICI -6.01%
Kotak 18.85%
Axis -11.88%
Yes 13.08%

Our Recommendation - With Buy and Sell ranges given below

Bank Nifty

HDFC  475 - 540
ICICI 850 - 935
Kotak 450 - 550
Axis 950 - 1260
Yes 315 - 365

Look for a correction of about 8-10% and buy the above stocks on dips.  The banking sector is likely to do well in the coming months and will support both the Nifty and Sensex to stay higher.

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Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
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Saturday, December 11, 2010

BSE NSE Dec 13 to 16 Strategy Sell on rise

Derivative analysis revelas negative build up for the following stocks

Our advise - Wait for a spurt in prices to short / sell as they are likely to go down by 5-7% during the week Dec 13-16, 2010

Jindal Saw Ltd

2 KS Oils Ltd

3 Axis Bank Ltd

4 Areva T&D India Ltd

5 Oriental Bank of Commerce

6 ICICI Bank Ltd

7 Power Finance Corp Ltd

8 Voltas Ltd

9 Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

10 Hotel Leela Venture Ltd

Bought to you by

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

For Free Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com

Friday, June 26, 2009

Free float on NSE

Free-Float Methodology Mean?

A method by which the market capitalization of an index’s underlying companies is calculated. Free-float methodology market capitalization is calculated by taking the equity’s price and multiplying it by the number of shares readily available in the market. Instead of using all of the shares outstanding like the full-market capitalization method, the free-float method excludes locked-in shares such as those held by promoters and governments.

Calculated as:

FFM=Share Price x (No. of Shares Outstanding – Locked In Shares)

Free-Float Methodology means:

The free-float method is seen as a better way of calculating market capitalization because it provides a more accurate reflection of market movements. When using a free-float methodology, the resulting market capitalization is smaller than what would result from a full-market capitalization method.

Free-float methodology has been adopted by most of the world’s major indexes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500.

Conversely, once the Nifty shifts to free-float methodology, weights of companies like Reliance, ICICI Bank, L&T, HDFC, ITC and HDFC Bank would increase considerably, while weights that of companies with high promoter stake such as Wipro, DLF, ONGC and NTPC would fall drastically.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Technicals - Icici, Punj Lloyd, Suzlon, Unitech & LIC Housing


ICICI Bank

Current price: Rs 398
Target price: Rs 365

The stock is ripe for some profit-booking. It's hitting resistance above Rs 400. On the downside, there is support between Rs 360-Rs 370 and that is likely to be tested on intra-day basis at least. Keep a stop at Rs 405 and go short. Book profits below Rs 365. Be prepared for 10 per cent intra-day swings. 

Punj Lloyd

Current price: Rs 114
Target price: Rs 125

The stock has made what seems like a valid breakout from a base at Rs 105. It has a potential target of Rs 125. Keep a stop at Rs 110 and go long. Start booking profits above Rs 122. If the stock dips below Rs 106, the next reliable support is at Rs 97. So a short would be possible. 

Suzlon Energy

Current price: Rs 57.5
Target price: Rs 63

The stock has made a breakout past resistance at Rs 54 on a volume expansion. It has a potential target of Rs 63 and perhaps Rs 65. Keep a stop at Rs 55 and go long. There is massive resistance at Rs 67- Rs 68 so the stock is very unlikely to cross the level. 

LIC Housing

Current price: Rs 282
Target price: Rs 300

The stock has broken out past resistance at Rs 250 on high volumes. It could achieve a target of about 300. Keep a stop at Rs 276 and go long. Be prepared for major bursts of volatility in what is usually a very stable stock. Book some profits above the Rs 290-mark. 

Unitech

Current price: Rs 42
Target price: Rs 48

The stock has moved up on strong volume expansion. It has a potential upside till the Rs 48 level and if there is a burst of profit-booking, it could collapse back till the Rs 37-Rs 38 level. Keep a stop at Rs 40.5 and go long. Start booking profits above Rs 46.

Source BS 13-04-09

Friday, March 13, 2009

Market Voices 13-03-09

Today the Indian market witnessed one of the strongest session in recent months. Largecap stocks gained in strength though midcap and smallcap stocks were muted in their gains. Sensex is up 5.3% and Nifty is up 4%. BSE Midcap index was up 0.8%, BSE Smallcap index was up 2.5% over the week. BSE Metals index up 6.7%, BSE Auto index up 6.5%, and BSE Oil & Gas index was up 6.2%.  

It was a cheerful day for the Indian market that closed on a highly positive note. Sensex shut shop at 8756, up 413 points and Nifty at 2719, up 102 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 2.9% and BSE Smallcap index was up 1.9%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 890 against declines of 202 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers included DLF, Tata Power and Tata Motors while losers included BPCL, ABB and NTPC.  

Hold long position in RIL, says Rajat Bose, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. But do not buy at current levels because it is trading near its resistance level of Rs 1320, he adds. The stock is at Rs 1282.35, UP 6.7% on the BSE.  

Hold NTPC with long-term view, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit Financials, on Zee Business. Buy more at Rs 165, he adds. The stock is at Rs 170.20, down 2% on the BSE.  »

Hold Nagarjuna Construction for 12 months, says Sailesh Kanani of Angel Broking on CNBC Awaaz. It will give returns of 80-100%, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 40.50, up 4.1% on the BSE.  

The Indian economy is close to bottoming out and it could turn around by Q4 this year, says Sam Mahtani of F&C Investments on CNBC TV18. He expects the second half of the year to be positive backed by the steep decrease in interest rates and aggressive monetary policy actions that was taken over in the past couple of months.  

Stay invested in Axis Bank, says VK Sharma of Anagram Stock Broking on CNBC TV18. It is one of those stocks in the private sector which has done pretty well, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 330.55, up 8.6% on the BSE. 

Hold long positions in Nifty for target of 2780 and stop loss of 2660, says E Mathew, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18.  

It was a stellar day for the Indian market thanks to excellent global cues. Sensex closed at 8789, up 445 points (provisional) and Nifty at 2725, up 108 points (provisional) from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 3.1% and BSE Smallcap index was up 1.9%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 870 against declines of 315 on the NSE. This is the largest point and percentage gain for Nifty since December 10, 2008, says NDTV Profit.  

Buy Sesa Goa on dips, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It has support at Rs 65 and resistance at Rs 105, he adds. The stock is at Rs 80, up 5.5% on the BSE.  

Go long on Cairn India at Rs 170 with target of Rs 175, says Vijay Bhambwani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of Rs 167, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 169.70, up 3.95% on the BSE.  
Buy DLF when it goes above Rs 150 with target of Rs 162, 180 and 211, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 140, he adds. The stock is currently trading at 153, up 11.8% on the BSE.  

Hold Videocon Industries, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on Zee Business. It has resistance at Rs 140-150, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 84.50, up 1.8% on the BSE.  

The Indian market is trading firm with the Nifty above the 2700 mark. Commodity stocks are showing strength. The Asian markets closed on a high. Sensex is trading at 8716, up 372 points and Nifty is at 2709, up 92 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index is up 2.7% and BSE Smallcap index is up 1.8%. The market breadth is positive with advances at 887 against declines of 300 on the NSE.  

Buy DLF on dips, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It is worth taking a long call on this stock, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 151.50, up 10.7% on the BSE.  

Buy Ambuja Cement with target of Rs 75 and 86, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 63, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 68.80, up 1.6% on the BSE.  

HSBC maintains a buy call on Reliance Industries with target of Rs 1640, reports CNBC Awaaz. It is expected to give returns of 36% from current levels, it adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1271.50, up 5.8% on the BSE.  

Hold Chambal Fertilisers with stop loss of Rs 32, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on Zee Business. It is trading in the range of Rs 32-42, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 36.10, up 3.1% on the BSE.  

Hold GMR Infra with target of Rs 85, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 71.50, up 3.7% on the BSE.  

Buy Tata Motors with target of Rs 162 and 172, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 148, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 158.30, up 8.5% on the BSE.  

Buy Dena Bank with target of Rs 36, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 28, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 30.85, up 4.1% on the BSE.  

Buy ICICI Bank on dips, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It has a long-term support between Rs 200-250, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 307, up 8% on the BSE.  

The Asian and European markets are trading positive and following the global cues, the Indian market continues to hold up fairly well. Both the largecap and midcap indices are showing good gains. Sensex is trading at 8668, up 324 points and Nifty is at 2695, up 77 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index is up 2.6% and BSE Smallcap index is up 1.4%.  

Hold HUL which has support at Rs 185 and Rs 210, says Ashu Bagri, technical analyst, on NDTV Profit. It has resistance at Rs 245, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 228.50, up 1.4% on the BSE.  

Exit Indiabulls Real Estate on rally, says Sharmila Joshi of Systematix Shares on NDTV Profit. Invest in some other sector altogether, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 89.60, up 4.7% on the BSE.  

Hold Shree Renuka Sugars with target of Rs 98-100, says Akshita Deshmukh, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. It has support at Rs 75, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 76.75, up 2.1% on the BSE.  

Investors should sell Satyam on rally, says Phani Sekhar of Angel Broking on CNBC Awaaz. There is, however, trading opportunity in this, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 46.60, down 1.3% on the BSE.  

Hold Axis Bank and sell when it reaches Rs 425, says Ashu Bagri, technical analyst, on NDTV Profit. It has support at Rs 220-270 and resistance at Rs 352-396, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 326, up 7.1% on the BSE.  

Hold L&T for 2-3 years, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit Financials on Zee Business. It will give very good returns, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 603, up 4.7% on the BSE.  

Buy Cairn India at its support level of Rs 150, says Sudhanshu Pandey, technical analyst with LKP Shares, on CNBC Awaaz. Sell at Rs 168-170, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 169.80, up 4% on the BSE.  

The Indian market continues to look good and cheerful as the Asian markets surge too. The indices are gaining ground. Banks, IT, realty and metals zoom. Sensex is trading at 8654, up 311 points from its previous close, and Nifty is at 2687, up 68 points. CNX Midcap index is up 2.4% and BSE Smallcap index is up 1.3%. The market breadth is positive with advances at 852 against declines of 302on the NSE.  

Hold Tech Mahindra at current levels, says VK Sharma of Anagram Stock Broking on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 260 on the BSE.  

Hold Rajesh Export and exit when it reaches Rs 30, says Ashu Bagri, technical analyst, on NDTV Profit. It has support at Rs 19-20, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 22.30, down 0.9% on the BSE. 

Hold Hero Honda with target of Rs 1040, says Akshita Deshmukh, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 935, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 957.60, down 1.5% on the BSE.  » 

Invest in Escorts with long-term view, says Paras Bothra of Ashika Stock Broking on CNBC Awaaz. It will give good returns, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 36.65, down 2.9% on the BSE.  

Hold GVK Power for long term with stop loss of Rs 12, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit Financials on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 18.45, up 1.9% on the BSE.  

Buy SBI, Axis Bank and PNB on dips, says Daljeet Kohli of Emkay Shares and Stock Brokers on CNBC Awaaz. These are safe stocks to invest in, he adds.  

Buy Mahindra & Mahindra at Rs 280, says Sudhanshu Pandey, technical analyst with LKP Shares, on CNBC Awaaz. It has resistance at Rs 334, crossing which it might go up to Rs 410, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 352.20, up 7% on the BSE. 

Hold Reliance Capital with stop loss below Rs 274, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 303.80, up 7% on the BSE.  

At noon, the market continues to look good, steadying the gains of the day. Most heavyweights are pushing the indices up, except for NTPC which is trading in the red. Sensex is trading at 8625, up 281 points from its previous close, and Nifty is at 2685, up 68 points. CNX Midcap index is up 2.4% and BSE Smallcap index is up 1.4%. The market breadth is positive with advances at 867 against declines of 268 on the NSE.  

Buy Bharti Airtel at current levels but with strict stop loss, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 550.70, up 0.1% on the BSE. 

Buy Satyam at around Rs 38 and hold for 3 years, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit Financials on Zee Business. Stop loss for short term should be Rs 32, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 46.25, down 2.01% on the BSE.  

Buy IDFC on decline at around Rs 40-42, says Paras Bothra of Ashika Stock Broking on CNBC Awaaz. One can get returns of 10%, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 47, up 5.2% on the BSE.  

Sell RIL on rally, says Sudhanshu Pandey, technical analyst with LKP Shares, on CNBC Awaaz. Crucial levels to watch out for are Rs 1260-1280, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1238, up 3% on the BSE.  

Hold ICICI Bank with stop loss of Rs 248, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. It has resistance at Rs 330-350, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 305.50, up 7.5% on the BSE..  

Buy Kotak Mahindra Bank at around Rs 230-210 with trading target of Rs 255-260, says Anil Maghnani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of Rs 205, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 239, up 3.3% on the BSE.  

Hold Rolta India with stop loss of Rs 38, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Exit when it reaches Rs 47-50, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 43.35, up 4.8% on the BSE.  

An hour into opening, the market is looking good, holding on to the morning's gain. The Asian markets are rallying, too, with Hang Seng and Nikkei looking rather strong. Sensex is trading at 8584, up 244 points from its previous close, and Nifty is at 2677, up 59 points. CNX Midcap index is up 2.1% and BSE Smallcap index is up 1.5%. The market breadth is positive with advances at 820 against declines of 249 on the NSE.  

Buy Ashok Leyland on dips with stop loss of Rs 15, says Sudhanshu Pandey, technical analyst with LKP Shares, on CNBC Awaaz. It has a crucial level of Rs 17.20, crossing which it might go up to Rs 22, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 17.15, up 3.3% on the BSE.  

Sell Dewan Housing on rally, says Paras Bothra of Ashika Stock Broking on CNBC Awaaz. The company is under pressure at the moment, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 53.65, down 0.6% on the BSE.  

Hold Tata Motors with target of Rs 185-195, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 135, she adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 153.60, up 5.2% on the BSE.  

Hold Tata Steel with target of Rs 165-175, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 160.80, up 3.1% on the BSE.  

Buy Emco with stop loss of Rs 23, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Traders keep target of Rs 31-32, he adds. Investors can expect returns of 25-30%, he says. The stock is currently trading at Rs 29.40, up 13.1% on the BSE.  

Buy Sesa Goa on decline of 5-10%, says Paras Bothra of Ashika Stock Broking on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 78.80, up 4% on the BSE.  

Go long on Bank Nifty with target of 3525-3550, says Devangshu Dutta, market expert, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of 3375, he adds.  

Sell Wipro on rally at Rs 225 with target of Rs 200, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 230, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 215.95, up 1.8% on the BSE.  

Traders should buy equities today, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. He feels that buyers could either take profits or carry their position into Monday.  

The market opens on a reasonably good note today, following a rally in the US market. Autos and financial stocks are leading the gains. Sensex is trading at 8563, up 219 points from its previous close, and Nifty is at 2676, up 59 points. CNX Midcap index is up 1% and BSE Smallcap index is up 0.4%. The market breadth is positive with advances at 401 against declines of 58 on the NSE.  

Go long on Nifty Futures with target of 2690, says Devangshu Dutta, market expert, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of 2580, he adds.  

Some covering by Nifty 2500 Put buyers was seen yesterday, says VK Sharma of Anagram Stock Broking on CNBC TV18. The Options data now indicates a neutral view with IVs coming down, he adds. He sees resistance for Nifty at 2680 and feels that a higher closing would lead to a short covering rally.  

There could be a short covering rally in the next few days followed by a collapse, says Anil Maghnani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. He sees resistance levels for Nifty at 2650 and 2700 and support at 2410 and 2480.  

The bias is on the upside for the near term given the positive global cues, says Amitabh Chakraborty of Religare Securities on CNBC TV18. He feels that the Nifty can go up to 2700, while the key support is at 2500. There are hopes that the Q3 GDP may be revised upward after the good IIP data, he adds

Monday, February 16, 2009

Thumbs Down for Interim

Budget disheartens D-street;

Sensex ends over 3.4% down The 30-share BSE Sensex which belled on a negative note on negative global cues continued its bearish trend after the sixth interim budget failed to bolster investor confidence.

Interim budget 2009-10 announced today by minister of external affairs, Pranab Mukherjee, highlighted the state of economy and outlook for the future and said that the UPA kept the promises outlined in the Common Minimum Programme (CMP).

Asian stocks declined, led by finance and consumer companies, as Japan`s economy overshrank the most since 1974 and Group of Seven finance chiefs said the economic slowdown will persist through most of 2009.

The Sensex ended the day with a loss of 329.29 points, or 3.42% at 9,305.45 after touching a high of 9,637.04 and a low of 9,279.10. The broad-based NSE Nifty fell 99.85 points, or 3.39% at 2,848.50 after hitting a high of 2,953.20 and a low of 2,839.10.

BSE Midcap and Smallcap too ended on a negative note down 2.93% and 2.10% respectively.
All Sectoral indices also ended on a negative note led by Metal (4.75%), Realty(4.58%), Bankex (4.58%), Capital Goods (4.55%) and Oil and Gas (4.23%).
ITC which gained 0.75% was the only major gainer in the 30-share index .

On the other hand, Jaiprakash Associates (7.88%), Reliance Energy (6.35%), ICICI Bank (5.79%), Reliance Communications (5.78%), Tata Steel (5.20%) and Reliance Industries (5.17%) were the major losers in the Sensex.

Overall market breadth was negative. Out of the total 2,482 shares traded at BSE, 776 advanced, 1,598 declined while 103 remained unchanged.

Source: IRIS (16 February 2009)

All eyes on Interim Budget !

all eyes would be on the interim budget on Monday as the market is hoping for a lot of sops to revive a sagging economy. However, because expectations from the budget have risen considerably in the last few days, even a moderately generous budget could actually set a bearish undertone for the bourses. On the contrary, if the budgetary proposals beat or match market expectations, it could start the next leg of the stock market rally.
In terms of the Bombay Stock Exchange’s benchmark index, on its way up the Sensex is now likely to test its first resistance at 9,718 points. This has now become a moderate resistance level and may go easily in case rising prices are supported by rising volumes. Following this level, the next resistance is likely to come up at 9,929 points, which will also be a moderate level. However, the next resistance at 10,186 would be an important level and would offer a rising Sensex strong resistance. If the Sensex closes above this level, then the next resistance would come at 10,454 points.
However, going by the study of technical indicators, it is expected that the Sensex would face profit selling at 10,186 points and if it stabilizes around this level, then selling could intensify.
On its way down, the Sensex is likely to test its first support at 9,441 points. This is a crucial support level and investors should watch this carefully as a close below this level would be bearish and could signal more declines. Following this level, there would be minor support at 9,311 points.
Author Vipul Verma
Source : Livemint.com

However, if the selling momentum is high, then this level might not offer any ground to a falling Sensex. At 9,023 points, the short-term trend for the Sensex would be set.
For the S&P CNX Nifty, there is a strong resistance at 2,981 points going northwards. This is a moderate but important resistance level. If this level goes, then the next resistance would come up at 3,068 points, which would again be an important resistance level. This level might trigger some profit selling.
However, if the Nifty closes convincingly above this level, this would mean further gains, which might take it to the next resistance level of 3,140 points. This would be a trend-deciding level and if the Nifty is able to close convincingly above this level with good volumes, this could start the next leg of the stock market rally.
On its way down, the Nifty would test its first support at 2,874 points. This would be an important support level and a close below this level would be seen as very bearish. The next support level would then come at 2,820 points followed by the next support level at 2,754 points. A close below this level would be extremely bearish.
Among individual stocks, this week ICICI Bank Ltd, Housing Development Finance Corp. Ltd, or HDFC, and Housing Development and Infrastructure Ltd, or HDIL, look good on the charts. ICICI Bank at its last close of Rs434.40, has a target of Rs447 and a stop-loss of Rs419. HDFC at its last close of Rs1,540 has a target of Rs1,580 and a stop-loss of Rs1,487. HDIL at its last close of Rs87.75 has a target of Rs93 and a stop-loss of Rs81.
From my previous recommendations, Tata Steel Ltd touched a high of Rs203.85, which was well above its target of Rs196. Century Textiles and Industries Ltd hit a high of Rs186, which was well above its target of Rs173. Punjab National Bank hit a high of Rs417.95 and met its target of Rs414