Showing posts with label Smart Investor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Smart Investor. Show all posts

Monday, September 22, 2014

Small Cap - Buy Hindustan Media Ventures

Hello Friends,

Hope everyone of you are enjoying a joy ride in Indian Equity Markets and making money, growing your wealth by investing smartly.  All our earlier recommendations are doing extremely well and so will our upcoming recommendations.

Our Equity Research has come up with a detailed analysis of Small Recommendations which have potential to grow 25-35% in next 3 months.

About HMVL

Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) is engaged in the business of printing of newspapers and periodicals. HMVL’s brands include Hindustan, Kadambini, Nandan, Anokhi, Life n‘Style, Movie Magic, Jaano English, Tann Mann and Nayi Dishayen. Hindustan, the flagship newspaper of the Company is amongst the most read newspapers in the country, in any language. Kadambini is a cultural and literary magazine. Nandan is a children’s magazine. Anokhi is a supplement of Hindustan, Anokhi is a Hindi magazine for women. 

Life n‘Style covers topics ranging from celebrity interviews, fashion, travelogues to restaurants and places to visit. Movie Magic covers for those who are keen followers of Bollywood, Hollywood and Entertainment. Jaano English focuses on teaching the nuances of the English language to its readers. Tann Mann is dedicated to health and lifestyle, which carries articles and information on diets, exercises and health trends. Nayi Dishayen offers insight into the world of education.

Our Recommendation :
The scrip has given a decent return of 20% it had a low of Rs.150 and peaked out at Rs.180.   Wait for correction to enter around Rs.160 level and hold for a target of Rs.200 holding period of 3 months.

Raghav
Equity Researcher

Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

# 98800.80321

Monday, March 24, 2014

TVS Motors - Buy

Our research team has analyzed the performance of TVS Motors in the past month has shown good accumulation and consolidation around 80-87 levels and is poised to jump sharply in the coming days.

Company Background :

TVS Motor Company Limited is a two-wheeler manufacturer in India. The Company manufactures a range of two-wheelers from mopeds to racing motorcycles. The Company’s products include domestic range of two-wheelers, three-wheelers and international range of two-wheelers. The Company’s motorcycles products include Apache RTR 180, Flame DS 125, Flame, TVS Jive, StaR City, Sports. 

The Company’s Variomatic Scooters products include TVS Wego, Scooty Streak, Scooty Pep+, Scooty Teenz. The Company’s Mopeds include TVS XL Super and TVS XL Heavy Duty.  The company has been posting good set of numbers QoQ the sales in the month of February 2014 has been quite impressive and the positive trend continues for Q4 of current fiscal.

TVS Motor Company Ltd announced its Q3 FY14 results on 29th January 2014. The company's Net sales increased by 3.48% and 12.96% on QoQ and YoY basis respectively. EBITDA increased by 15.41% on YoY basis. EBITDA Margin of the company increased from 5.87% to 6.00% on YoY basis. PAT excluding excp items increased by 17.49% and 31.17% on QoQ and YoY basis respectively.

Price Performance :

The stock jumped more than 50% during the last 4 month period and is now poised to scale newer heights.  From around Rs.60 levels it is hovering near 3 digit Rs.100 we expect a positive break out leading the stock to move beyond Rs.130 in coming weeks.  With the Q4 results likely to be released shortly indicating strong volume and revenue growth, punters have started accumulating this stock on all declines.

Recommendation :

We strongly recommend both the long term and short term investors to get into the stock on all declines, keeping a strict loss around Rs.87 and continue to hold for a target price of Rs.130

Raghav
Equity Research Analyst

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideasraghav@ravinaconsulting.comTalk / SMS 08105737966


Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.inFollow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Monday, March 17, 2014

Arvind - Buy on declines and Add to Portfolio

Company Back Ground

Arvind Limited is an India-based textile company. The Company operates in three segments: Textiles segment, which includes products, such as, fabric, yarn and garments; Brands and Retail segment, includes branded garments and apparels, and Others segment includes electronic private automatic branch exchange (EPABX) Systems (Electronics), construction and project activity.

The Company operates in divisions, such as denim, woven fabrics, knits fabrics, garment exports, advanced materials, Arvind Brands, Mega Mart retail, The Arvind Store, engineering, telecom, and real estate. The Company’s weaving capabilities include Airjet looms and Rapier looms. Its finishing capabilities include continuous bleaching and dying ranges, caustic mercerization, and machinery for various chemical and mechanical finishes.

The brands sold in MegaMart include RUGGERS - SKINN - ELITUS - DONUTS - KARIGARI - MEA CASA - AUBURN HILL - BAY ISLAND - COLT - LEISHA- EDGE.   Arvind has sealed a deal to purchase a 49% interest in Calvin Klein India, the finalized deal will help Arvind strengthen this partnership. The transaction will also help propel Arvind into international growth through deals with overseas brands, the report stated.

Despite the fallout of recession, Arvind`s brands business grew by 25% in the last ninemonth period to Rs 1,412 crore. The company`s profit before tax and interest from brands business grew by 17% to Rs 34.7 crore in the last nine months. The company`s brands include Excalibur, Flying Machine, Colt and Newport. In addition to this, it owns the right to market brands such as Polo, Arrow, Cherokee, Next, Club America and Megamart. The premium end of the apparel market has been growing at a rapid 16-18% as aspirational customers are looking to buy better brands

Market Performance :

The stock has been on an uptrend, and has gained as much as 75% out performing both Sensex, and Nifty returns during the same period. In the last 3 months the stock has moved sharply and had high and low Rs.159 and Rs.124 giving returns in excess of 20%

Investment Strategy :

The company is likely to post robust results for the Q4 of current year making it an attractive buy around Rs.137 to Rs.140.  Depending on investment horizon we could expect decent 20% return in next few months, while long term portfolio should continue to hold to stock for a target price of Rs.200/- and keep adding on declines.

Raghav
Equity Research Analyst

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Friday, March 14, 2014

PSU Shares - Gold Mine or Black Hole ?

Dear Investors,

The recent rally in BSE and NSE has given a big boost to the most neglected sector - Public Sector Undertakings.  

BSE PSU Index comprises of 59 scrips out of which 24  belong to Nationalized Banks.  Rest 35 shares belong to core business / manufacturing activities.  Many stocks in this sector are under owned by both FIIs and Domestic Institutions, HNIs for the simple reason that these are thoroughly mis-managed.

The Sector is out of investment radar of large investors due to uncertainty. There are several reasons for the downturn in PSU stocks include decline in net profit and the government's move to sell shares of some of these companies via offer for sale, at a discount to prevailing market price.  Any further equity dilution means - more supply depressing the market price.  FPOs by the government has become a nightmare for the Retail investors as they are now trading at deep discount to their issue price.  

For the smart investors this gives a golden opportunity to buy into high quality stocks at attractive valuations.  The top ten identified by our Research Team is given below :

  1. BHEL
  2. BPCL
  3. BEML
  4. Coal India
  5. Engineers India
  6. GAIL
  7. Hindustan Copper
  8. Indian Oil
  9. NMDC
  10. ONGC
Investors should carefully analyze the price movements of these shares besides the Q4 results for 2014 before taking any investment decisions.

Discover how Smart Investors are taking undue advantage of our Share Market Expertise by subscribing to our premium services !!


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

HCL Info - What Next ??

The stock has risen more than 60% during the last 3 months.  On Dec 11 the scrip was hovering around Rs.21 levels and the run up to Rs.36 was pretty fast and furious.  While the Nifty rose just 3.23%   during last 3 months, BSE Sensex as well as BSE 50 rose 3.3%    during the same period, this scrip vaulted giving astounding returns to the investors !

Company Back ground :

HCL Infosystems Limited is an information and communication technology (ICT) company. It is engaged in developing and implementing ICT solutions for diverse market segments. It operates in three segments: computer systems and other related products and services, telecommunication and office automation, and Internet and related services. 

The computer systems and other related products and services consists of manufacturing of computer hardware systems, providing comprehensive systems integration, roll out and infrastructure management solutions. This segment also provides information technology (IT) services, including maintenance, facility management and ICT training. On November 10, 2011, it sold its equity stake in HCL Infinet Ltd. Consequently, HCL Infinet Ltd has ceased to be subsidiary of the Company. In August 2012, the Company, through its subsidiary HCL Insys Pte. Ltd., bought the remaining 40% interest held by the NTS Group in HCL Infosystems MEA FZCo.

What Next ?

With the market entering bullish zone all the small and mid cap shares are seeing re-rating and scaling new highs each passing day.  HCL Info may stay subdued in the days to come, taking a pause to jump  higher and higher.  For the time being our Team suggests to adopt a Sell on Rise SOR strategy for playing safe in this volatile counter.

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor


Sunday, March 9, 2014

NSE and BSE Weekly Analysis 7th March 2014

Key benchmark indices edged higher in the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014 on speculation the  National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, and the 50‐unit CNX Nifty, both, settled at record closing high indicating strength in the market.  During the week ending 7th March the market gained in four out of   five trading sessions in the week just gone by. The BSE Mid‐Cap and the BSE Small‐Cap indices  under performed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014, the 30‐share S&P BSE Sensex rose 799.67 points or 3.79%  to 21,919.79, a record closing high. The 50‐unit CNX Nifty gained 249.70 points or 3.98% to 6,526.65,  a record closing high.The S&P BSE Mid‐Cap index rose 193.02 points or 2.97% to 6,693.44 and the  S&P BSE Small‐Cap index gained 167.41 points or 2.6% to 6,612.45. Both these indices under performed the Sensex.

Realty: 
The BSE Realty index rose by 12.97% for the week ended 7th Mar 2014 to close at 1,360. The major  gainers were Prestige Estates, DLF, D B Realty, H D I L and India bull Real Est rose by 31.98%, 18.61%,  17.16%, 14.83% and 14.68% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will  be able to form the next government at Centre.

Bankex: 
The BSE Bankex Index rose by 10.44% to close at 13567 levels. The major gainers were Yes Bank, Bank of Baroda and ICICI Bank rose by 23.28%, 17.95% and 15.10% respectively, after data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed that India's current account deficit declined sharply in Q3 December 2013. Investor sentiment was boosted by good FII buying, softening of geopolitical
tensions related to Ukraine and the Finance Minister's assurance of support for PSU banks.

Capital Goods: 
The BSE Capital Goods gained 8.15% to close at 11,221 levels for the week ended 07th Mar 2014. The major gainers were IL&FS Transport, Crompton Greaves, A B B, SKF India and B H E L rose by 18.26%, 13.16%, 12.40%, 10.67% and 9.87% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance
(NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. Bharat Heavy Electricals advanced as Life Insurance Corporation of India bought 4.66% stake in the company from the Government of India through a bulk deal. With the block deal, the government's stake in Bhel has come down to 63.05%, from 67.72% earlier.

Health Care: 
The BSE HC index declined 4.33% to close at 10,370 levels. The major losers were Glaxosmit Pharma, Ipca Labs, Dr Reddy's Labs, Piramal Enterp and Sun Pharma.Inds fell by 13.02%, 6.66%, 6.04%, 4.92% and 4.75% respectively, as investors offloaded defensive stocks in favour of hih beta stocks as key
benchmark indices scaled record high. A strong rupee was another trigger for profit taking in pharma stocks. Pharma companies earn substantial revenue from exports. Dr Reddy's Labs ended lower, on concerns that its sales in Russia and Ukraine would be hit with the region accounting for 14.5% of the company's sales.

IT: 

The BSE IT index lost 2.78% for the week ended 07th Mar 2014 to close at 9,520 levels. The major losers were Indian Infotech, Mindtree, HCL Technologies, Wipro and Oracle Fin.Serv fell by 9.26%, 5.94%, 5.83%, 5.23% and 3.11% respectively, on the recent strength in rupee against the dollar. A firm rupee adversely affects operating profit margins of IT firms as the sector derives a lion's share of revenue from exports.

Brought to you by :


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Friday, March 7, 2014

Prestige Estates - Sell

Dear Smart Investors,

Company Background :
Prestige Estates Projects Limited is a real estate development company. The Company’s business segments include Residential, Commercial, Retail, Hospitality and Services. The Company’s residential developments include Prestige Golfshire, Prestige Neptune’s Courtyard, Prestige Oasis, Prestige Bella Vista, Prestige Westholme, Prestige Royal Woods, Prestige White Meadows, Prestige Tranquility and Prestige Ferns Residency. Its commercial buildings include Prestige Dynasty, Prestige Nebula, Prestige Shantiniketan Commercial Precinct, Prestige Atrium, Prestige Meridian, Prestige Towers and Prestige Pegasus. Its retail buildings include UB City, the Forum, the Forum Vijaya Mal and the Forum Value Mall. Its hospitality building include Angsana Oasis Spa & Resort, Oakwood Premier Prestige Bangalore serviced residences and The 24 Tech Hotel. Under the labels of Morph Design Co and Prestige Interiors, the Company offers customized interior design solutions and fit out services.

Q3 Results & forecast :
The debit pile of this company is huge and Management is well aware of this.  Efforts to bring down the debt by QIP preferential offers are in the offing.  25% vs. our estimate of 26.5% (down 506bps YoY) led to EBITDA of Rs 1.2bn and PAT of Rs 0.8bn, ~10% below estimates.  The  lower  margins  were  attributable  to majority  of  revenues  being  recognized  from   mid- income projects such as Tranquility (Rs 1.5bn) and Bella Vista (Rs 1.1bn) during the quarter. Other expenses increased 68% QoQ to Rs 251mn  on  account of re- classification of agent commissions  underoverheads vs. project-level expenses (material expenses).

Technical view : 
Although PEPL continues to have a strong launch pipeline, PEPL continues  to invest in augmenting its land bank through a mix of JDAs and outright acquisitions and is incurring annual capex of Rs 5-6bn on annuity assets. Hence, the key monitorable in our view is the company’s ability to keep debt levels in check in FY14-15E (PEPL’s consolidated net debt increased by Rs 4.0bn in 1HFY14 to Rs 21.9bn). Maintain Sell around Rs.165 stop loss of 170 with TP of Rs 150 /share 


Traders Delight :
The scrip provides enough trading opportunities for the risky traders.  Any fall below Rs.140 should be considered as an opportunity to buy and hold the stock for a target price of Rs.170 

Fore more Trading Ideas get in touch with us.  Avail our premium services to reap huge profits from volatile markets.

Smart Investor
Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

Purvankara Projects - Avoid

Company Background :

Puravankara Projects Limited is an India-based company. The Company is engaged in the development and construction of residential and commercial properties. The Company operates primarily in India. The Company has projects across Bangaluru, Chennai, Coimbatore, Kochi, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mysore, Mumbai and Colombo. Its completed projects includes purva fountainsquare, purva jade, purva vantage, purva grande, purva Riviera, purva panorama, purva carnation, purva pavilion, purva fairmont, purva heights, purva iris, purva graces, purva park, purva paradise, castlemaine, purva nest, whitefield bougainvilla and uran park-Mumbai. As of March 31, 2012, the Company had 19 subsidiaries.

Performance 

A comparative chart with its peers in Bangalore segment reveals interesting facts.  It has fallen way ahead of others in the recent slide sinking to a new 52 week low.  A consolidation in Rs.45-50 is expected sooner than later.  While Sobha, Prestige and Brigade scrips have fallen around 18% Purvankara had steepest fall of 47% clearly indicate the weakness in the fundamentals of the share.


52 Week Low :

Will you buy this stock ? No The investors are exiting the stock since the expectation is that there will be fall in total sales and revenue in next 2 quarters.  The Realty scene in major cities in India is down since there is contraction in the income levels of the users and tepid increase in the annual salaries of the workforce.

Provident Housing :

The company forayed into low cost housing projects with a 100% subsidiary which is yet to turn green.  The large size of units that remain unsold is a cause for worry.

Buying Opportunity :

During last year the company raised money through QIP at Rs.80 levels to raise INR 1.84 Billion hence the book value continues to remain high.  The debt levels are also manageable.  The scrip becomes a compelling buy only after we review the performance in Q4 quarterly results and management perception of the realty scenario in major markets they have projects.  

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting

No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas

mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Monday, February 24, 2014

Telecom Sector - Avoid

With the conclusion of Spectrum auction, the GOI has garnered good funds, at the cost of the Telcos and its end users !!

The trend for the last month or so in the telecom sector scrips in the BSE and NSE - down.  It is unlikely to reverse this trend and as we see lower tops and lower bottoms, we expect the slide to continue for the upcoming year. 

Idea Cellular had a recent low of Rs.127 and is likely to halt around Rs.100, failing which it can go all the way upto Rs.75-80 levels which is a compelling buy for long term portfolio investors.

RCom appears to be weakest in the Telco pack its fall is more pronounced when compared to other 2 biggies Idea and Bharti.  Avoid the scrip as it is likely to breach recent low of 110.  The fall could be steep and in our estimates it could hit Rs.75 sooner or later.

Bharti - better placed than the other 2 companies.  Acquisition of Loop Telecom would entail an outflow of Rs.700 crores which will put more pressure on cash flows and could bump up the interest costs for borrowings to fund spectrum fee as well as taking over of loop.  Staring near the 52W low this stock is poised to slide sharply in the coming months.

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting

No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas

mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Buy Media Stocks ahead of General Elections 2014

With all Political parties trying to woo voters, they will use both print and electronic media to reach out to critical masses.  Media stocks comprise of 2 categories -

Electronic Media - TV Channels

Best Buy :

TVToday CMP Rs.120 SL 110 for a Target Price of Rs.150
Jumped 10% during last week wait for a correction to enter around 112.  Got Indias Largest Circulated weekly as well as a TV channel.

For Average Returns of 15-20% consider the following scrips part of Media group

TV18 Media - Buy around Rs.22 SL 18 for a target of Rs.32
NDTV - Buy around Rs.70 SL of 63 for a target prrice of Rs.90
SunTV - Buy around Rs.340  SL of Rs.320 for a target price of Rs.400

Print Media - News Papers

Jagran Prakashan - CMP 87 stop loss 79 for  target price of Rs.105
HTMedia - CMP 70 (close to 52Week Low) SL of 66 for a target price of Rs.106

Savvy investors are buying these scrips to hold for a period of 6 months - the ad revenues as well as sales of publications give edge to Print Media scrips.

Look for any dip from the current prices indicated above buy and hold for 4-5 months for returns that could be more than 

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina ConsultingNo.24 Pattamal Plaza3rd Cross KamannahalliBANGALORE 560048
For Stock Advise + Ideasintellinvestor@gmail.comTalk / SMS 08105737966
Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.inFollow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Technical Calls - JP Associates

JP Associates Limited - Sell

The stock has been trading below its long term 200 day WEMA (73) since fourth week of January 2013. Moreover, the stock is trading within bearish price channel on the monthly chart. This indicating long term trend on JPASSOCIATES is likely to remain weak. On weekly chart, the stock has given a breakdown from the upward price channel indicates selling pressure cannot be ruled out and we might see a decline till 42/39 levels on downside. We expect selling pressure in the coming trading sessions with immediate support placed at 42. If the stock is able to give a sustained close below this level then we would see the stock testing 34.50 levels in the short term to medium term scenario. The stock is expected to find resistance at 50.30/52.70 levels.

Strategy: 

Sell JP Associate below 46.50 (Spot) with a stop loss of 50.30, for a potential target of 39/34.


Options Strategy

Traders could consider a short strangle on JP Associates. Short strangle is a strategy involving simultaneous selling of call and put options.  This strategy is best suited when one expects the underlying stock to move in a narrow range.

Traders could consider selling ₹35-put option and ₹45-call option. They closed with a premium of ₹1.15 and ₹0.75 respectively.

This will entail an initial income of ₹15,200 , as the market lot is 8,000 a contract. The maximum profit in this strategy will be the initial income. This strategy is for traders who can bear the risk, as loss will be unlimited.

For maximum profit, JP Associates has to settle between the strike price at the time of expiry.  However, if the stock breaks free in any one of the directions, that is either up or down, then this strategy will result in a huge loss. Any close above ₹47 or below ₹37 will impact the position.

It is better to hold on to the strategy till the expiry, as traders could capture the full potential of time value. We advise traders to exit from this strategy, if the loss touches ₹3,500.

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
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Saturday, February 1, 2014

Mid Cap - Buy Recommendations

If you are looking for buying into Mid Caps which has potential to grow about 50% in the next 9 to 12 Months consider investing in the following scrips.


A further dip of about 10% is expected in these stocks.  Buy only on declines and wait for the prices to climb slowly and steadily.

Stop Loss

Make sure that when you are buying keep a strict stop below 10% of your purchase price as a sound investment strategy.  Do not average in a falling market as the shares are likely to slide further.


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Buy - Eros Media on declines

Investors with a short-term perspective can buy Eros International Media at current levels. The stock found support in the band between Rs 105 and Rs 115 in August 2013 after an intermediate-term downtrend. Subsequently, the stock changed direction and has been on a medium-term uptrend. Significant support at Rs 155 and 200-day moving average around this level provided base for the stock’s short-term corrective decline.

On Monday, the stock surged 8 per cent accompanied by above average volume, breaching its 21- and 50-day moving averages. The relative strength index on the daily chart has entered the bullish zone from the neutral region indicating positive momentum. Both daily and weekly price rate of change indicators are hovering in the positive territory implying buying interest. The short-term outlook is bullish. It can extend the uptrend to Rs 187 and then to Rs 191 in the coming trading sessions. Buy the stock while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 176.
The stock is finding support around Rs.160 and facing stiff resistance beyond Rs.185 which gives a trading range of Rs.25 for the Smart Investor
Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Indian Stock Markets are Zooming Ahead !



Key benchmark indices edged higher in choppy trade as index heavyweights viz. Infosys, Reliance Industries and HDFC rose. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, attained record closing high. The 50-unit CNX Nifty attained its highest closing level in more than six weeks. HDFC eked out small gains after reporting a decent growth in bottom line in Q3 December 2013. Infosys extended its recent gains triggered by the company raising its revenue growth guidance for the year ending 31 March 2014 at the time of announcement of Q3 December 2013 earnings on 10 January 2014. The Sensex garnered 86.55 points or 0.41%, off 40.24 points from the day's high and up 169.24 points from the day's low. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive.

Indian stocks edged higher for the third day in a row today, 22 January 2014. The Sensex has garnered 274.05 points or 1.3% in three trading sessions from a recent low of 21,063.62 on 17 January 2014. The Sensex has risen 166.99 points or 0.78% in this month so far (till 22 January 2014). From a 52-week low of 17,448.71 on 28 August 2013, the Sensex has risen 3,888.96 points or 22.28%

Our Recommendation :

We strongly recommend investors to junk the so called High Beta stocks and wait for declines to enter into good quality scrips.  We will continue to recommend high quality stocks mostly from mid cap space which will ensure that investors will protect their networth and continue to create wealth by buying sun rise shares.

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Sunday, January 19, 2014

BSE & NSE Weekly Review 17th Jan 2013

The market rose last week after a government data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) eased to five-month low at 6.16% in December 2013. Easing inflation provides legroom for the central bank to cut interest rates in its next policy meet in order to bolster growth. Firm global stocks also boosted sentiments. Weaker-than-estimated US employment data released last Friday, 10 January 2014, cheered financial markets, as global investors feel the US Federal Reserve may not accelerate the pace of reduction in its monthly bond purchases.
The S&P BSE Sensex rose 305.13 points or 1.47% to 21,063.62. The 50-unit CNX Nifty rose 90.20 points or 1.46% to 6,261.65.
The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 1.43% and the BSE Small-Cap index fell 1.42%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.
Key benchmark indices surged on Monday, 13 January 2014, as a weaker-than-estimated US jobs report eased concern that the US Federal Reserve may accelerate the pace of stimulus cuts. Fed's bond-buying program has been a source of liquidity for most Asian and emerging markets in recent years. India has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of foreign capital flows. The S&P BSE Sensex garnered 375.72 points or 1.81% to settle at 21,134.21. The CNX Nifty garnered 101.30 points or 1.64% to settle at 6,272.75.
Key benchmark indices edged lower on Tuesday, 14 January 2014, as world stocks fell after Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart on Monday, 13 January 2014, said that the US economy is on solid footing and he would support continued cuts to stimulus. The S&P BSE Sensex shed 101.33 points or 0.48% to settle at 21,032.88. The CNX Nifty lost 30.90 points or 0.49% to 6,241.85.
Key benchmark indices flared up on Wednesday, 15 January 2014, after a government data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) eased to five-month low at 6.16% in December 2013. Easing inflation provided legroom for the central bank to cut interest rates in its next policy meet in order to bolster growth. Firmness in Asian and European stocks also boosted sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex rose 256.61 points or 1.22% to 21,289.49. The CNX Nifty rose 79.05 points or 1.27% to 6,320.90.
Key benchmark indices edged lower in choppy trade Thursday, 16 January 2014, as European stocks declined. The S&P BSE Sensex lost 24.31 points or 0.11% to settle at 21,265.18. The CNX Nifty shed 2 points or 0.03% to settle at 6,318.90.
Key benchmark indices edged lower in a choppy trading session on Friday, 17 January 2014. The S&P BSE Sensex was down 201.56 points or 0.95% to 21,063.62. The CNX Nifty was down 57.25 points or 0.91% to 6,261.65.
Infosys rose 5.05% to Rs 3,728.05. The company raised its revenue growth guidance for the year ending 31 March 2014. The stock hit record high of Rs 3,759.90 in intraday trade on Friday, 17 January 2014. At the time of announcement of Q3 December 2013 earnings, Infosys, on 10 January 2014, raised its revenue growth guidance in both rupee and dollar terms for the year ending 31 March 2014. The company expects consolidated revenue in rupee terms to grow 24.4% to 24.9% for the year ending 31 March 2014 (FY 2014). This guidance is based on rupee dollar conversion rate of 61.81 for the rest of the financial year. The company expects consolidated revenue in dollar terms to grow 11.5% to 12% in FY 2014.
TCS fell 2.90% to Rs 2,215.65 as the company's third quarter results fell short of market expectations. The company's consolidated net profit rose 15.1% to Rs 5333 crore on 1.5% increase in revenue to Rs 21294 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. Operating profit grew 0.5% to Rs 6337 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. Operating margin was reported at 29.8% in Q3 December 2013. TCS announced the third quarter results after trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014.
TCS said growth in Q3 December 2013 was driven by industries like Life Science & Healthcare, Manufacturing, Media, Travel & Hospitality and Telecom. The company's broad based presence across markets and services helped overcome seasonal weakness in some markets. Europe led growth, driven by the continuous investments being made in that market, while North America and UK also grew during the quarter, TCS said in a statement. Among growth markets, Latin America, APAC and MEA registered strong growth. India business suffered from volatility and declined sequentially, TCS said. Among service lines, Business Process Services, Enterprise Solutions, Global Consulting were the leaders.
Wipro fell 0.38% to Rs 552.45. On a consolidated basis, the company's net profit rose 4.28% to Rs 2014.70 crore on 3.06% increase in total income from operations (net) to Rs 11,327.40 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 17 January 2014
In dollar terms, IT services revenue were reported at $1,678.4 million in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 2.9% over Q2 September 2013 and an increase of 6.4% over Q3 December 2012.
IT services revenues in rupee terms was Rs 10330 crore in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 20% over Q3 December 2012.
IT services earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) was Rs 2380 crore in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 33% over Q3 December 2012.
Wipro expects revenues from IT services business to be in the range of $1,712 million to $1,745 million including the revenues from its acquisition. (The guidance is based on the following exchange rates: GBP/USD at 1.63, Euro/USD at 1.37, AUD/USD at 0.92, USD/INR at 62.0).
Engineering and construction major Larsen & Toubro rose 4.72% to Rs 1,001.15. The company will announce Q3 results on 22 January 2014.  L&T announced during trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014, that it has recently secured new orders of Rs 1000 crore from the domestic market in its offshore and onshore hydrocarbon business segment.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 3.23% to Rs 884.55. The company after market hours on Friday, 17 January, announced that its net profit rose 0.16% to Rs 5511 crore on 10.67% increase in total income to Rs 105826 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.
Meanwhile, a media report suggested that RIL is eyeing Petronas' 11% stake in $20-billion Venezuela project. RIL clarified to the stock exchanges during trading hours on Friday, 17 January 2014, that it continues to look for opportunities to grow its business internationally and cannot make any specific comment on the media report.
State-run GAIL (India) rose 1.45% to Rs 351. 
Index heavyweight and cigarette maker ITC rose 0.74% at Rs 324.85. The company's net profit rose 16.25% to Rs 2385.34 crore on 13.4% increase in total income to Rs 9117.91 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The company announced the results during market hours on Friday, 17 January 2014.
ITC said gross revenue grew by 12.9% to Rs 12223.44 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012, driven by the new FMCG businesses and the Paperboards, Paper and Packaging segment. Within the FMCG segment, ITC said that the branded packaged foods businesses posted robust growth in revenues and enhanced market standing across categories by leveraging a portfolio of differentiated and innovative products.
ITC said its hotels business recorded a significant improvement in profitability aided by superior performance by ITC Grand Chola.  ITC said that its agri business profits rose 19% in Q3 December 2013, driven by higher realisation and superior mix.
Two-wheeler maker Bajaj Auto rose 1.73% to Rs 1,934. The company's net profit rose 10.48% to a record Rs 904.55 crore on 4.67% decline in total income to Rs 5353.08 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The result was announced during trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014.
Exports rose 23.5% to Rs 2123 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.
Operating earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) before mark-to-market gain/loss rose 0.64% to Rs 1092 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Operating EBITDA margin before mark-to-market gain/loss, edged up to 21.1% in Q3 December 2013, from 19.8% in Q3 December 2012.
Total automobile sales fell 11.88% to 9.93 lakh units in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Bajaj Auto said that sales during festive period, though reasonable, were not robust. Subsequently, in November and December, industry sales continued to remain sluggish, Bajaj Auto said.
Bajaj Auto said that the quarter witnessed a marked increase in input costs of steel, aluminium and other imported components.
Cash and cash equivalents as on 31 December 2013 stood at Rs 6920 crore, higher than Rs 6516 crore as on 30 September 2013, Bajaj Auto said in a statement.
Two-wheeler major Hero MotoCorp rose 1.71% to Rs 2,069.95.
Cipla (up 4.80%), HDFC (up 4.75%), Sesa Sterlite (up 2.09%), edged higher.
Telecom stocks tumbled as a surprise decision of Reliance Industries (RIL) to join the bidding for upcoming telecom spectrum auction slated for 3 February 2014 raised concerns of aggressive bidding in the auction which in turn could have an adverse impact on balance sheet of telecom firms.  Bharti Airtel declined 5.87% to Rs 311.20. 
The notes attracted huge investor interest with an order-book aggregating circa euro 600 million from high quality investor accounts. The success of tap on the existing bond emphasizes the continuing and strong belief of the investor community in Bharti's credit, Bharti Airtel said in a statement. Bharti had earlier in December 2013 raised euro 750 million in an inaugural benchmark euro issuance.
The notes have been priced at 275 basis points over the curve adjusted 5-year EUR Mid Swap with a fixed coupon of 4% per annum. Bharti will fully apply the net proceeds to refinance its existing debt.
RIL's entry could result in increase in competition in the telecom sector.
RIL will join Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular as well as the local units of Vodafone Group PLC and Telenor ASA in bidding for bandwidth in the auction in February. The government aims to raise at least Rs 11000 crore through two sets of auctions, one for a national service and another for a portion of bandwidth in Delhi, Mumbai or Kolkata, collectively home to over 32 million Indians.
RIL will bid to operate both nationally and in the three cities. A successful bid would mark the company's re-entry into the phone business after spinning-off its cellphone unit Reliance Communications in 2005, to brother Anil Ambani, as part of the division of the business empire built by their late father, Dhirubhai Ambani.
The auctions are crucial for Bharti and Vodafone India, whose bandwidth usage rights are set to expire in Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata. Reliance Communications also has permits up for renewal in some regions in November this year. The companies will have to bid successfully in the upcoming auction to continue operations. The rights to use bandwidth last for 20 years. Idea Cellular and the Indian unit of Telenor, are also bidding in the hopes of expanding their services.
The Department of Telecommunications, which will conduct the auctions, will scrutinize the bids and announce the final list of bidders on 20 January 2014.
Coal India dropped 5.52% to Rs 272.75. The stock turned ex-dividend on Friday, 17 January 2014, for dividend of Rs 29 per share for the year ending March 2014. Before turning ex-dividend, the stock offered a dividend yield of 9.58% based on the closing price of Rs 302.70 on Thursday, 16 January 2014.

Source : Capitalmarket.com

Sowmya

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


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