Showing posts with label Ingenious Investor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ingenious Investor. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Buy Syngene

Company Background :

Syngene is one of the leading contract research organizations in the country offering a suite of integrated, end-to-end discovery and development services for novel molecular entities across industrial sectors including pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agrochemicals, consumer health, animal health, cosmetic and nutrition companies. The company offers services through flexible business models that are customised to client’s requirements. These range from a full-time equivalent to a fee-for-service model, or a combination thereof.

Syngene delivers its services through a combination of scientific talent, globally accredited systems and R&D infrastructure. At the end of FY15, its tangible fixed assets (gross block) were Rs 931 cr. the company’s laboratory and manufacturing facilities located in Bengaluru are spread over more than 9 lakh sq. ft.  As of May 31, 2015, the company had 2,122 scientists, including 258 Ph.Ds. and 1,665 scientists with a Master’s degree.

Recommendation :

Investors with long time horizon of holding for more than 12 months should consider adding this scrip to their portfolio.  Buy on a weak days around Rs.350 levels and hold for a target of Rs.525

Smart Investor

No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

Mobile / Whatsapp -08105-737-966

intellinvestor@gmail.com
www.twitter.com/SmartInvestor

Sunday, December 20, 2015

Buy - Ruby Mills

From a low of Rs.60 last year the stock has given superlative returns to the investors. The company did give out a liberal bonus of 2 : 1 during 2015 and the CMP is Rs.366

Background :
The Ruby Mills Limited is an India-based company engaged in textile manufacturing and real estate development.
The Company's segments include
  • Textiles and
  • Real Estate.
The Company offers various products, such as cotton and blended yarns; custom made fabrics from various manmade and natural fibers, such as cotton, linen, viscose, lyocell, modal, polynosic and the blends of the same for shirting, suiting and dress materials; micro polyester and its blends for various end applications; 100% cotton knitted fabric; basic and micro dot coated interlining; eco-friendly textiles, and fabrics with various special finishes, such as silicone, anti-fungal, anti-bacterial, water repellent and stain repellent pricing.
Its manufacturing units are located at Village Dhamni and Village Kharsundi in District Raigad, Maharashtra. Its installed capacity consists of approximately 22,000 spindles and around 40,000 metric tons of woven fabrics, and around eight tons of tubular knitted fabrics.
Buy :
Investors keen to jump the bandwagon can look at an entry price of Rs.325 range to buy and hold for a period of 1 year to take part in the company's growth going forward.
One can look at Rs.500 and exit partially.
Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

Mobile / Whatsapp -08105-737-966

intellinvestor@gmail.com
www.twitter.com/SmartInvestor

Sunday, June 28, 2015

Jyothy Labs - Fastest growing Indian FMCG - Buy

Jyothy Laboratories Limited is an India-based fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) company. The Company is principally engaged in manufacturing and marketing of fabric whiteners, soaps, detergents, mosquito repellents, scrubber, bodycare and incense sticks. The Company is organized into four business segments: Soaps and Detergents, Home Care, Laundry services and Others. Soaps and Detergents include fabric whiteners, fabric detergents, dishwash bar and soaps including ayurvedic soaps. Home Care products include incense sticks, dhoop, mosquito repellents and scrubber.

Laundry services include dry-cleaning and providing linen on rental. Others include body care, tea and coffee. Its fabric care product portfolio includes brands, such as Henko Stain Champion, Mr. White, Ujala Stiff & Shine, Morelight, Chek & Speed. Its home care brands include Maxo, Exo Floorshine and Maya. Its Personal care brnads include Margo, FA and Neem Active Toothpaste. Its Dish Wash brands include Exo and pril.

After the Henkel acquisition, Jyothy Laboratories has been successful in creating six power brands for itself—Ujala, Henko, Maxo, Pril, Exo and Margo. At one shot, a three-brand company leapt into the big league with six power brands, which will be key in driving revenues and innovation.

In June last year, Jyothy Laboratories relaunched Henko, which involved doing on-ground tie-ups and better placement of its products to capture the target markets. The awareness increased the demand for Henko products. The strategy seems to have worked because Jyothy Laboratories has been able to clock healthy growth of 18-20% in the soaps and detergents segment in the past two quarters.

Technical Analysis :

 The stock has gained almost 21 per cent so far this month. Volumes have been increasing in the past three trading sessions. The relative strength index on the daily chart has entered the bullish zone from the neutral region. The weekly RSI is featuring in the bullish zone supporting the medium-term uptrend. Similarly, price rate of change indicators are featuring in the positive area signalling buying interest.

Our Recommendation :

The stock has potential to break the resistance and reach the price target of Rs.400 by Dec 2015. Buy the stock with a stop-loss at ₹272.

Raghav
Equity Advisor

Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

Mobile / Whatsapp - 08105.737.966
ingeniousinvestor@gmail.com
www.twitter.com/SmartInvestor

Friday, February 20, 2015

Atlanta Infra - Buy

Our research has come up with a small cap pick in Atlanta Infra.  The stock after hitting a high of 103 levels is trending towards Rs.75/-

Company Background

Atlanta Ltd is an India-based company engaged in the business of contracting activities like construction and development of infrastructure. The Company has a diversified and de-risked work portfolio and enjoys an early mover advantage with over three decades of presence in Engineering, Procurement, Construction (EPC) & Realty and over a decade plus presence in executing Public Private Partnership (PPP) Infrastructure Development Projects and Contract mining of limestone and coal.

Our Recommendation :


The scrip has given a decent return of 86% it had a low of Rs.56 and peaked out at Rs.103 almost doubling from the bottom. It has corrected 20% during the last 1 month.  Investors with a short term perspective should buy around 75 levels and exit around 105.  

For free evaluation of your portfolio and comprehensive research of Equity shares get in touch with us today.
Raghav
Equity Advisor

Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084


# 98800.80321

ingeniousinvestor@gmail.com

www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Philips Carbon Black - Buy


Our research has come up with a long term pick in Philips Carbon Black.  The stock after hitting a high of 170 levels is trending towards Rs.125/-

Company Background

Phillips Carbon Black Limited (PCBL) is an India-based manufacturer of carbon black. The Company also manufactures various grades of specialty black. The Company operates through two business segments: Carbon black and Power. PCBL manufactures carbon black, a filler used in rubber compounds, and customized blacks for specialized applications and specialty blacks for non-rubber applications, such as films, pipes, automotive, fiber and ink. 

The power generation process involves recovery and utilization of the thermal energy of the process waste gas being produced from carbon black manufacturing process. This waste heat/gas is utilized to generate steam, which in turn is used to generate electrical energy. PCBL has capacity to produce 472,000 metric tons per annum of carbon black across four locations in India. The Company also has co-generation green power plant at each of these locations. PCBL is a part of the RP-Sanjiv Goenka Group of Companies.

Our Recommendation :

The scrip has given a decent return of 86% it had a low of Rs.90 and peaked out at Rs.168 almost doubling from the bottom. It has corrected 20% during the last 1 month 6% in 3 months.  Investors with a short term perspective should buy around 125 levels and exit around 205.  

Caution :
This is fundamentally long term scrip with a potential to grow over 9-12 months time horizon.  Enter around Rs.125 level and hold for a target of Rs.205 holding period of 6 months.  Buy all declines to exit on rises and do not trade in quantities larger than > 1000 - it can be in active once the rise and fall have happened.  


Raghav
Equity Advisor

Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084


# 98800.80321

ingeniousinvestor@gmail.com

www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Monday, September 22, 2014

Small Cap - Buy Hindustan Media Ventures

Hello Friends,

Hope everyone of you are enjoying a joy ride in Indian Equity Markets and making money, growing your wealth by investing smartly.  All our earlier recommendations are doing extremely well and so will our upcoming recommendations.

Our Equity Research has come up with a detailed analysis of Small Recommendations which have potential to grow 25-35% in next 3 months.

About HMVL

Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (HMVL) is engaged in the business of printing of newspapers and periodicals. HMVL’s brands include Hindustan, Kadambini, Nandan, Anokhi, Life n‘Style, Movie Magic, Jaano English, Tann Mann and Nayi Dishayen. Hindustan, the flagship newspaper of the Company is amongst the most read newspapers in the country, in any language. Kadambini is a cultural and literary magazine. Nandan is a children’s magazine. Anokhi is a supplement of Hindustan, Anokhi is a Hindi magazine for women. 

Life n‘Style covers topics ranging from celebrity interviews, fashion, travelogues to restaurants and places to visit. Movie Magic covers for those who are keen followers of Bollywood, Hollywood and Entertainment. Jaano English focuses on teaching the nuances of the English language to its readers. Tann Mann is dedicated to health and lifestyle, which carries articles and information on diets, exercises and health trends. Nayi Dishayen offers insight into the world of education.

Our Recommendation :
The scrip has given a decent return of 20% it had a low of Rs.150 and peaked out at Rs.180.   Wait for correction to enter around Rs.160 level and hold for a target of Rs.200 holding period of 3 months.

Raghav
Equity Researcher

Smart Investor
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kammanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

# 98800.80321

Monday, March 24, 2014

TVS Motors - Buy

Our research team has analyzed the performance of TVS Motors in the past month has shown good accumulation and consolidation around 80-87 levels and is poised to jump sharply in the coming days.

Company Background :

TVS Motor Company Limited is a two-wheeler manufacturer in India. The Company manufactures a range of two-wheelers from mopeds to racing motorcycles. The Company’s products include domestic range of two-wheelers, three-wheelers and international range of two-wheelers. The Company’s motorcycles products include Apache RTR 180, Flame DS 125, Flame, TVS Jive, StaR City, Sports. 

The Company’s Variomatic Scooters products include TVS Wego, Scooty Streak, Scooty Pep+, Scooty Teenz. The Company’s Mopeds include TVS XL Super and TVS XL Heavy Duty.  The company has been posting good set of numbers QoQ the sales in the month of February 2014 has been quite impressive and the positive trend continues for Q4 of current fiscal.

TVS Motor Company Ltd announced its Q3 FY14 results on 29th January 2014. The company's Net sales increased by 3.48% and 12.96% on QoQ and YoY basis respectively. EBITDA increased by 15.41% on YoY basis. EBITDA Margin of the company increased from 5.87% to 6.00% on YoY basis. PAT excluding excp items increased by 17.49% and 31.17% on QoQ and YoY basis respectively.

Price Performance :

The stock jumped more than 50% during the last 4 month period and is now poised to scale newer heights.  From around Rs.60 levels it is hovering near 3 digit Rs.100 we expect a positive break out leading the stock to move beyond Rs.130 in coming weeks.  With the Q4 results likely to be released shortly indicating strong volume and revenue growth, punters have started accumulating this stock on all declines.

Recommendation :

We strongly recommend both the long term and short term investors to get into the stock on all declines, keeping a strict loss around Rs.87 and continue to hold for a target price of Rs.130

Raghav
Equity Research Analyst

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideasraghav@ravinaconsulting.comTalk / SMS 08105737966


Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.inFollow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Monday, March 17, 2014

Arvind - Buy on declines and Add to Portfolio

Company Back Ground

Arvind Limited is an India-based textile company. The Company operates in three segments: Textiles segment, which includes products, such as, fabric, yarn and garments; Brands and Retail segment, includes branded garments and apparels, and Others segment includes electronic private automatic branch exchange (EPABX) Systems (Electronics), construction and project activity.

The Company operates in divisions, such as denim, woven fabrics, knits fabrics, garment exports, advanced materials, Arvind Brands, Mega Mart retail, The Arvind Store, engineering, telecom, and real estate. The Company’s weaving capabilities include Airjet looms and Rapier looms. Its finishing capabilities include continuous bleaching and dying ranges, caustic mercerization, and machinery for various chemical and mechanical finishes.

The brands sold in MegaMart include RUGGERS - SKINN - ELITUS - DONUTS - KARIGARI - MEA CASA - AUBURN HILL - BAY ISLAND - COLT - LEISHA- EDGE.   Arvind has sealed a deal to purchase a 49% interest in Calvin Klein India, the finalized deal will help Arvind strengthen this partnership. The transaction will also help propel Arvind into international growth through deals with overseas brands, the report stated.

Despite the fallout of recession, Arvind`s brands business grew by 25% in the last ninemonth period to Rs 1,412 crore. The company`s profit before tax and interest from brands business grew by 17% to Rs 34.7 crore in the last nine months. The company`s brands include Excalibur, Flying Machine, Colt and Newport. In addition to this, it owns the right to market brands such as Polo, Arrow, Cherokee, Next, Club America and Megamart. The premium end of the apparel market has been growing at a rapid 16-18% as aspirational customers are looking to buy better brands

Market Performance :

The stock has been on an uptrend, and has gained as much as 75% out performing both Sensex, and Nifty returns during the same period. In the last 3 months the stock has moved sharply and had high and low Rs.159 and Rs.124 giving returns in excess of 20%

Investment Strategy :

The company is likely to post robust results for the Q4 of current year making it an attractive buy around Rs.137 to Rs.140.  Depending on investment horizon we could expect decent 20% return in next few months, while long term portfolio should continue to hold to stock for a target price of Rs.200/- and keep adding on declines.

Raghav
Equity Research Analyst

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Sunday, March 9, 2014

NSE and BSE Weekly Analysis 7th March 2014

Key benchmark indices edged higher in the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014 on speculation the  National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, and the 50‐unit CNX Nifty, both, settled at record closing high indicating strength in the market.  During the week ending 7th March the market gained in four out of   five trading sessions in the week just gone by. The BSE Mid‐Cap and the BSE Small‐Cap indices  under performed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014, the 30‐share S&P BSE Sensex rose 799.67 points or 3.79%  to 21,919.79, a record closing high. The 50‐unit CNX Nifty gained 249.70 points or 3.98% to 6,526.65,  a record closing high.The S&P BSE Mid‐Cap index rose 193.02 points or 2.97% to 6,693.44 and the  S&P BSE Small‐Cap index gained 167.41 points or 2.6% to 6,612.45. Both these indices under performed the Sensex.

Realty: 
The BSE Realty index rose by 12.97% for the week ended 7th Mar 2014 to close at 1,360. The major  gainers were Prestige Estates, DLF, D B Realty, H D I L and India bull Real Est rose by 31.98%, 18.61%,  17.16%, 14.83% and 14.68% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will  be able to form the next government at Centre.

Bankex: 
The BSE Bankex Index rose by 10.44% to close at 13567 levels. The major gainers were Yes Bank, Bank of Baroda and ICICI Bank rose by 23.28%, 17.95% and 15.10% respectively, after data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed that India's current account deficit declined sharply in Q3 December 2013. Investor sentiment was boosted by good FII buying, softening of geopolitical
tensions related to Ukraine and the Finance Minister's assurance of support for PSU banks.

Capital Goods: 
The BSE Capital Goods gained 8.15% to close at 11,221 levels for the week ended 07th Mar 2014. The major gainers were IL&FS Transport, Crompton Greaves, A B B, SKF India and B H E L rose by 18.26%, 13.16%, 12.40%, 10.67% and 9.87% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance
(NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. Bharat Heavy Electricals advanced as Life Insurance Corporation of India bought 4.66% stake in the company from the Government of India through a bulk deal. With the block deal, the government's stake in Bhel has come down to 63.05%, from 67.72% earlier.

Health Care: 
The BSE HC index declined 4.33% to close at 10,370 levels. The major losers were Glaxosmit Pharma, Ipca Labs, Dr Reddy's Labs, Piramal Enterp and Sun Pharma.Inds fell by 13.02%, 6.66%, 6.04%, 4.92% and 4.75% respectively, as investors offloaded defensive stocks in favour of hih beta stocks as key
benchmark indices scaled record high. A strong rupee was another trigger for profit taking in pharma stocks. Pharma companies earn substantial revenue from exports. Dr Reddy's Labs ended lower, on concerns that its sales in Russia and Ukraine would be hit with the region accounting for 14.5% of the company's sales.

IT: 

The BSE IT index lost 2.78% for the week ended 07th Mar 2014 to close at 9,520 levels. The major losers were Indian Infotech, Mindtree, HCL Technologies, Wipro and Oracle Fin.Serv fell by 9.26%, 5.94%, 5.83%, 5.23% and 3.11% respectively, on the recent strength in rupee against the dollar. A firm rupee adversely affects operating profit margins of IT firms as the sector derives a lion's share of revenue from exports.

Brought to you by :


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Buy Media Stocks ahead of General Elections 2014

With all Political parties trying to woo voters, they will use both print and electronic media to reach out to critical masses.  Media stocks comprise of 2 categories -

Electronic Media - TV Channels

Best Buy :

TVToday CMP Rs.120 SL 110 for a Target Price of Rs.150
Jumped 10% during last week wait for a correction to enter around 112.  Got Indias Largest Circulated weekly as well as a TV channel.

For Average Returns of 15-20% consider the following scrips part of Media group

TV18 Media - Buy around Rs.22 SL 18 for a target of Rs.32
NDTV - Buy around Rs.70 SL of 63 for a target prrice of Rs.90
SunTV - Buy around Rs.340  SL of Rs.320 for a target price of Rs.400

Print Media - News Papers

Jagran Prakashan - CMP 87 stop loss 79 for  target price of Rs.105
HTMedia - CMP 70 (close to 52Week Low) SL of 66 for a target price of Rs.106

Savvy investors are buying these scrips to hold for a period of 6 months - the ad revenues as well as sales of publications give edge to Print Media scrips.

Look for any dip from the current prices indicated above buy and hold for 4-5 months for returns that could be more than 

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina ConsultingNo.24 Pattamal Plaza3rd Cross KamannahalliBANGALORE 560048
For Stock Advise + Ideasintellinvestor@gmail.comTalk / SMS 08105737966
Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.inFollow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Saturday, February 1, 2014

Mid Cap - Buy Recommendations

If you are looking for buying into Mid Caps which has potential to grow about 50% in the next 9 to 12 Months consider investing in the following scrips.


A further dip of about 10% is expected in these stocks.  Buy only on declines and wait for the prices to climb slowly and steadily.

Stop Loss

Make sure that when you are buying keep a strict stop below 10% of your purchase price as a sound investment strategy.  Do not average in a falling market as the shares are likely to slide further.


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Thursday, January 23, 2014

Indian Stock Markets are Zooming Ahead !



Key benchmark indices edged higher in choppy trade as index heavyweights viz. Infosys, Reliance Industries and HDFC rose. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, attained record closing high. The 50-unit CNX Nifty attained its highest closing level in more than six weeks. HDFC eked out small gains after reporting a decent growth in bottom line in Q3 December 2013. Infosys extended its recent gains triggered by the company raising its revenue growth guidance for the year ending 31 March 2014 at the time of announcement of Q3 December 2013 earnings on 10 January 2014. The Sensex garnered 86.55 points or 0.41%, off 40.24 points from the day's high and up 169.24 points from the day's low. The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was positive.

Indian stocks edged higher for the third day in a row today, 22 January 2014. The Sensex has garnered 274.05 points or 1.3% in three trading sessions from a recent low of 21,063.62 on 17 January 2014. The Sensex has risen 166.99 points or 0.78% in this month so far (till 22 January 2014). From a 52-week low of 17,448.71 on 28 August 2013, the Sensex has risen 3,888.96 points or 22.28%

Our Recommendation :

We strongly recommend investors to junk the so called High Beta stocks and wait for declines to enter into good quality scrips.  We will continue to recommend high quality stocks mostly from mid cap space which will ensure that investors will protect their networth and continue to create wealth by buying sun rise shares.

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

Sunday, January 19, 2014

BSE & NSE Weekly Review 17th Jan 2013

The market rose last week after a government data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) eased to five-month low at 6.16% in December 2013. Easing inflation provides legroom for the central bank to cut interest rates in its next policy meet in order to bolster growth. Firm global stocks also boosted sentiments. Weaker-than-estimated US employment data released last Friday, 10 January 2014, cheered financial markets, as global investors feel the US Federal Reserve may not accelerate the pace of reduction in its monthly bond purchases.
The S&P BSE Sensex rose 305.13 points or 1.47% to 21,063.62. The 50-unit CNX Nifty rose 90.20 points or 1.46% to 6,261.65.
The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 1.43% and the BSE Small-Cap index fell 1.42%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.
Key benchmark indices surged on Monday, 13 January 2014, as a weaker-than-estimated US jobs report eased concern that the US Federal Reserve may accelerate the pace of stimulus cuts. Fed's bond-buying program has been a source of liquidity for most Asian and emerging markets in recent years. India has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of foreign capital flows. The S&P BSE Sensex garnered 375.72 points or 1.81% to settle at 21,134.21. The CNX Nifty garnered 101.30 points or 1.64% to settle at 6,272.75.
Key benchmark indices edged lower on Tuesday, 14 January 2014, as world stocks fell after Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart on Monday, 13 January 2014, said that the US economy is on solid footing and he would support continued cuts to stimulus. The S&P BSE Sensex shed 101.33 points or 0.48% to settle at 21,032.88. The CNX Nifty lost 30.90 points or 0.49% to 6,241.85.
Key benchmark indices flared up on Wednesday, 15 January 2014, after a government data showed that inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) eased to five-month low at 6.16% in December 2013. Easing inflation provided legroom for the central bank to cut interest rates in its next policy meet in order to bolster growth. Firmness in Asian and European stocks also boosted sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex rose 256.61 points or 1.22% to 21,289.49. The CNX Nifty rose 79.05 points or 1.27% to 6,320.90.
Key benchmark indices edged lower in choppy trade Thursday, 16 January 2014, as European stocks declined. The S&P BSE Sensex lost 24.31 points or 0.11% to settle at 21,265.18. The CNX Nifty shed 2 points or 0.03% to settle at 6,318.90.
Key benchmark indices edged lower in a choppy trading session on Friday, 17 January 2014. The S&P BSE Sensex was down 201.56 points or 0.95% to 21,063.62. The CNX Nifty was down 57.25 points or 0.91% to 6,261.65.
Infosys rose 5.05% to Rs 3,728.05. The company raised its revenue growth guidance for the year ending 31 March 2014. The stock hit record high of Rs 3,759.90 in intraday trade on Friday, 17 January 2014. At the time of announcement of Q3 December 2013 earnings, Infosys, on 10 January 2014, raised its revenue growth guidance in both rupee and dollar terms for the year ending 31 March 2014. The company expects consolidated revenue in rupee terms to grow 24.4% to 24.9% for the year ending 31 March 2014 (FY 2014). This guidance is based on rupee dollar conversion rate of 61.81 for the rest of the financial year. The company expects consolidated revenue in dollar terms to grow 11.5% to 12% in FY 2014.
TCS fell 2.90% to Rs 2,215.65 as the company's third quarter results fell short of market expectations. The company's consolidated net profit rose 15.1% to Rs 5333 crore on 1.5% increase in revenue to Rs 21294 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. Operating profit grew 0.5% to Rs 6337 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. Operating margin was reported at 29.8% in Q3 December 2013. TCS announced the third quarter results after trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014.
TCS said growth in Q3 December 2013 was driven by industries like Life Science & Healthcare, Manufacturing, Media, Travel & Hospitality and Telecom. The company's broad based presence across markets and services helped overcome seasonal weakness in some markets. Europe led growth, driven by the continuous investments being made in that market, while North America and UK also grew during the quarter, TCS said in a statement. Among growth markets, Latin America, APAC and MEA registered strong growth. India business suffered from volatility and declined sequentially, TCS said. Among service lines, Business Process Services, Enterprise Solutions, Global Consulting were the leaders.
Wipro fell 0.38% to Rs 552.45. On a consolidated basis, the company's net profit rose 4.28% to Rs 2014.70 crore on 3.06% increase in total income from operations (net) to Rs 11,327.40 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q2 September 2013. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 17 January 2014
In dollar terms, IT services revenue were reported at $1,678.4 million in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 2.9% over Q2 September 2013 and an increase of 6.4% over Q3 December 2012.
IT services revenues in rupee terms was Rs 10330 crore in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 20% over Q3 December 2012.
IT services earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) was Rs 2380 crore in Q3 December 2013, an increase of 33% over Q3 December 2012.
Wipro expects revenues from IT services business to be in the range of $1,712 million to $1,745 million including the revenues from its acquisition. (The guidance is based on the following exchange rates: GBP/USD at 1.63, Euro/USD at 1.37, AUD/USD at 0.92, USD/INR at 62.0).
Engineering and construction major Larsen & Toubro rose 4.72% to Rs 1,001.15. The company will announce Q3 results on 22 January 2014.  L&T announced during trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014, that it has recently secured new orders of Rs 1000 crore from the domestic market in its offshore and onshore hydrocarbon business segment.
Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 3.23% to Rs 884.55. The company after market hours on Friday, 17 January, announced that its net profit rose 0.16% to Rs 5511 crore on 10.67% increase in total income to Rs 105826 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.
Meanwhile, a media report suggested that RIL is eyeing Petronas' 11% stake in $20-billion Venezuela project. RIL clarified to the stock exchanges during trading hours on Friday, 17 January 2014, that it continues to look for opportunities to grow its business internationally and cannot make any specific comment on the media report.
State-run GAIL (India) rose 1.45% to Rs 351. 
Index heavyweight and cigarette maker ITC rose 0.74% at Rs 324.85. The company's net profit rose 16.25% to Rs 2385.34 crore on 13.4% increase in total income to Rs 9117.91 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The company announced the results during market hours on Friday, 17 January 2014.
ITC said gross revenue grew by 12.9% to Rs 12223.44 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012, driven by the new FMCG businesses and the Paperboards, Paper and Packaging segment. Within the FMCG segment, ITC said that the branded packaged foods businesses posted robust growth in revenues and enhanced market standing across categories by leveraging a portfolio of differentiated and innovative products.
ITC said its hotels business recorded a significant improvement in profitability aided by superior performance by ITC Grand Chola.  ITC said that its agri business profits rose 19% in Q3 December 2013, driven by higher realisation and superior mix.
Two-wheeler maker Bajaj Auto rose 1.73% to Rs 1,934. The company's net profit rose 10.48% to a record Rs 904.55 crore on 4.67% decline in total income to Rs 5353.08 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. The result was announced during trading hours on Thursday, 16 January 2014.
Exports rose 23.5% to Rs 2123 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012.
Operating earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) before mark-to-market gain/loss rose 0.64% to Rs 1092 crore in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Operating EBITDA margin before mark-to-market gain/loss, edged up to 21.1% in Q3 December 2013, from 19.8% in Q3 December 2012.
Total automobile sales fell 11.88% to 9.93 lakh units in Q3 December 2013 over Q3 December 2012. Bajaj Auto said that sales during festive period, though reasonable, were not robust. Subsequently, in November and December, industry sales continued to remain sluggish, Bajaj Auto said.
Bajaj Auto said that the quarter witnessed a marked increase in input costs of steel, aluminium and other imported components.
Cash and cash equivalents as on 31 December 2013 stood at Rs 6920 crore, higher than Rs 6516 crore as on 30 September 2013, Bajaj Auto said in a statement.
Two-wheeler major Hero MotoCorp rose 1.71% to Rs 2,069.95.
Cipla (up 4.80%), HDFC (up 4.75%), Sesa Sterlite (up 2.09%), edged higher.
Telecom stocks tumbled as a surprise decision of Reliance Industries (RIL) to join the bidding for upcoming telecom spectrum auction slated for 3 February 2014 raised concerns of aggressive bidding in the auction which in turn could have an adverse impact on balance sheet of telecom firms.  Bharti Airtel declined 5.87% to Rs 311.20. 
The notes attracted huge investor interest with an order-book aggregating circa euro 600 million from high quality investor accounts. The success of tap on the existing bond emphasizes the continuing and strong belief of the investor community in Bharti's credit, Bharti Airtel said in a statement. Bharti had earlier in December 2013 raised euro 750 million in an inaugural benchmark euro issuance.
The notes have been priced at 275 basis points over the curve adjusted 5-year EUR Mid Swap with a fixed coupon of 4% per annum. Bharti will fully apply the net proceeds to refinance its existing debt.
RIL's entry could result in increase in competition in the telecom sector.
RIL will join Bharti Airtel, Idea Cellular as well as the local units of Vodafone Group PLC and Telenor ASA in bidding for bandwidth in the auction in February. The government aims to raise at least Rs 11000 crore through two sets of auctions, one for a national service and another for a portion of bandwidth in Delhi, Mumbai or Kolkata, collectively home to over 32 million Indians.
RIL will bid to operate both nationally and in the three cities. A successful bid would mark the company's re-entry into the phone business after spinning-off its cellphone unit Reliance Communications in 2005, to brother Anil Ambani, as part of the division of the business empire built by their late father, Dhirubhai Ambani.
The auctions are crucial for Bharti and Vodafone India, whose bandwidth usage rights are set to expire in Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata. Reliance Communications also has permits up for renewal in some regions in November this year. The companies will have to bid successfully in the upcoming auction to continue operations. The rights to use bandwidth last for 20 years. Idea Cellular and the Indian unit of Telenor, are also bidding in the hopes of expanding their services.
The Department of Telecommunications, which will conduct the auctions, will scrutinize the bids and announce the final list of bidders on 20 January 2014.
Coal India dropped 5.52% to Rs 272.75. The stock turned ex-dividend on Friday, 17 January 2014, for dividend of Rs 29 per share for the year ending March 2014. Before turning ex-dividend, the stock offered a dividend yield of 9.58% based on the closing price of Rs 302.70 on Thursday, 16 January 2014.

Source : Capitalmarket.com

Sowmya

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division


For Stock Advise + Ideas
intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in
Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor

Sunday, January 5, 2014

BSE Mid Caps - Buy on declines

Dear  Smart Investors,

We are giving  a list of Mid Cap shares that are likely to outperform the broader markets.  The strategy here should be to buy on declines and exit on getting 15 - 20% returns with a holding period of 4-6 weels.


The sharp increase in prices make these ripe for a minor correction this week.  Wait for the dips to enter into these shares.

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross, Kammanahallli
BANGALORE 560084

For Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor
http://www.google.com/profiles/intellinvestor

Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Buy Sugar Stocks for Sweet Gains !! Wait for dips, buy and Hold !!

The government recently announced its decision to partially decontrol the sugar sector. This announcement brought cheer to the sugar industry. In fact, the Sugar Index outperformed the CNX Nifty 50 index by more than 10% in the first week of April, the week the news became public.

The Sugar Index, comprising frontline sugar stocks, gained close to 9% during 11 trading sessions ending 12th Apr '13. During this time period, the broader market remained in the red. The CNX Nifty 50 Index fell by approximately 2% in the corresponding time period. In view of the structural change in the industry, investors from this sector need to keep a close eye on the upcoming developments and could consider going long in selective sugar company stocks.

After years of reluctant hope and months of speculation, the Indian government's Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs finally approved the partial decontrol of the sugar industry. The proposal seeks to abolish the levy-sugar mechanism, under which private millers have to sell a specified quantity of the sweetener to the government at concessional rates.

As per the new policy, the quarterly release mechanism of sugar has been dropped, which allows sugar mills to sell sugar into the domestic market or to export at will. The move is expected to free up cash flows for mills and allow them to better meet their cane payments to farmers, thus removing one of the major barriers to good farmer-miller relationships, which may in the end lead to less of a swing in cane plantings and more steady sugar production.

Obviously, the dropping of the levy obligation will boost profit margins of sugar companies significantly. Industry pundits estimate total savings to be in the range of `3,000 crore. The Indian Sugar Mills Association says that the two decisions combined could lead to an additional growth of 20% to 25% for the industry. Sugar production in the country is estimated to touch 24.6 million tonnes in 2012-13 marketing season ending 30th September with the cumulative turnover of `80,000 crore.

Currently, major players in the sugar industry are all domestic firms such as Bajaj Hindhusthan , Shree Renuka Sugars  , Dhampur Sugar  , Balrampur Chini  , EID Parry  and Mawana Sugars  , among others. After the decontrol policy of the government, the sector is likely to see more merger and acquisition activities.

Overseas players like Olam International, Cargill and Noble Group are looking at occupying a bigger pie of the Indian sugar industry. Foreign firms have been calling top industry people as they are lured by the size of the `80,000 crore market, which is expected to double up in five years. Trade sources say potential investors are eyeing opportunities in detail and have a preference for business in top producer Maharashtra although they are suspicious of politically meddlesome UP. As a result of all these positive developments, sugar stocks have surged upwards, beating negative trends of the overall market in the month of April.

Bajaj Hindusthan, Shree Renuka Sugars and Balrampur Chini Mills shares surged by 7.30%, 7.07% and 4.02%, respectively on the day the news was made public. Part of the overall impact had already been factored in before the news. Some momentum gained in stock prices after the news. Though the positive news will boost investor sentiments in the sugar industry, there are some concerns that need to be looked at carefully.

The relaxation in levy regulation is applicable only for two years and it is not clear what will happen from the third year onwards. Secondly, the control of sugarcane pricing still rests in the hands of select states. Depending on the political as well as investment-friendly situation of the individual states, companies' benefits would vary. Hence, investors need to carefully look at the plant location of individual sugar companies and its existing relationship with the government, among others. This means that the full benefit of a free market is yet to be realized for sugar investors.

For risk takers our recommendation - Buy Bajaj Hindustan below Rs.10 Shree Renuka below Rs.15 holding period 12-18 months

For long term our recommendation - Buy Dhampur Sugars below Rs.30 and Balrampur Chini below 36 holding period 18 - 24 months

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross, Kammanahallli
BANGALORE 560084

For Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor
http://www.google.com/profiles/intellinvestor

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

Buy PVR Limited


We recommend a buy in the mass media scrip PVR from a short-term horizon. It is apparent from the charts of the stock that since its March 2011 low of Rs 94, it has been on a long-term uptrend. Following a corrective decline from early December 2012 peak of Rs 341, the stock found support at Rs 250 in late January and early February this year. The stock resumed its long-term uptrend taking twin support at Rs 250. Both medium- and short-term trends are up for the stock.
Reinforcing the uptrend, the stock advanced 2 per cent accompanied by above average volumes recently. It is trading well above its 21- and 50-day moving averages. The daily as well as weekly relative strength indices are featuring in the bullish zone. Moreover, both daily and weekly price rate of change indicators are hovering in the positive terrain implying buying interest.
Our short-term outlook on the stock is bullish. We expect its uptrend to continue and reach our price target of Rs 400 or Rs 421 in next 2 months. Traders with a short-term horizon can consider buying the stock with stop-loss at Rs 335 level.
Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross, Kammanahallli
BANGALORE 560084

For Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com
Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor
http://www.google.com/profiles/intellinvestor