Showing posts with label BSE Realty index. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BSE Realty index. Show all posts

Sunday, March 9, 2014

NSE and BSE Weekly Analysis 7th March 2014

Key benchmark indices edged higher in the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014 on speculation the  National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, and the 50‐unit CNX Nifty, both, settled at record closing high indicating strength in the market.  During the week ending 7th March the market gained in four out of   five trading sessions in the week just gone by. The BSE Mid‐Cap and the BSE Small‐Cap indices  under performed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 7 March 2014, the 30‐share S&P BSE Sensex rose 799.67 points or 3.79%  to 21,919.79, a record closing high. The 50‐unit CNX Nifty gained 249.70 points or 3.98% to 6,526.65,  a record closing high.The S&P BSE Mid‐Cap index rose 193.02 points or 2.97% to 6,693.44 and the  S&P BSE Small‐Cap index gained 167.41 points or 2.6% to 6,612.45. Both these indices under performed the Sensex.

Realty: 
The BSE Realty index rose by 12.97% for the week ended 7th Mar 2014 to close at 1,360. The major  gainers were Prestige Estates, DLF, D B Realty, H D I L and India bull Real Est rose by 31.98%, 18.61%,  17.16%, 14.83% and 14.68% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will  be able to form the next government at Centre.

Bankex: 
The BSE Bankex Index rose by 10.44% to close at 13567 levels. The major gainers were Yes Bank, Bank of Baroda and ICICI Bank rose by 23.28%, 17.95% and 15.10% respectively, after data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed that India's current account deficit declined sharply in Q3 December 2013. Investor sentiment was boosted by good FII buying, softening of geopolitical
tensions related to Ukraine and the Finance Minister's assurance of support for PSU banks.

Capital Goods: 
The BSE Capital Goods gained 8.15% to close at 11,221 levels for the week ended 07th Mar 2014. The major gainers were IL&FS Transport, Crompton Greaves, A B B, SKF India and B H E L rose by 18.26%, 13.16%, 12.40%, 10.67% and 9.87% respectively, on speculation the National Democratic Alliance
(NDA) will be able to form the next government at Centre. Bharat Heavy Electricals advanced as Life Insurance Corporation of India bought 4.66% stake in the company from the Government of India through a bulk deal. With the block deal, the government's stake in Bhel has come down to 63.05%, from 67.72% earlier.

Health Care: 
The BSE HC index declined 4.33% to close at 10,370 levels. The major losers were Glaxosmit Pharma, Ipca Labs, Dr Reddy's Labs, Piramal Enterp and Sun Pharma.Inds fell by 13.02%, 6.66%, 6.04%, 4.92% and 4.75% respectively, as investors offloaded defensive stocks in favour of hih beta stocks as key
benchmark indices scaled record high. A strong rupee was another trigger for profit taking in pharma stocks. Pharma companies earn substantial revenue from exports. Dr Reddy's Labs ended lower, on concerns that its sales in Russia and Ukraine would be hit with the region accounting for 14.5% of the company's sales.

IT: 

The BSE IT index lost 2.78% for the week ended 07th Mar 2014 to close at 9,520 levels. The major losers were Indian Infotech, Mindtree, HCL Technologies, Wipro and Oracle Fin.Serv fell by 9.26%, 5.94%, 5.83%, 5.23% and 3.11% respectively, on the recent strength in rupee against the dollar. A firm rupee adversely affects operating profit margins of IT firms as the sector derives a lion's share of revenue from exports.

Brought to you by :


Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Friday, March 7, 2014

Prestige Estates - Sell

Dear Smart Investors,

Company Background :
Prestige Estates Projects Limited is a real estate development company. The Company’s business segments include Residential, Commercial, Retail, Hospitality and Services. The Company’s residential developments include Prestige Golfshire, Prestige Neptune’s Courtyard, Prestige Oasis, Prestige Bella Vista, Prestige Westholme, Prestige Royal Woods, Prestige White Meadows, Prestige Tranquility and Prestige Ferns Residency. Its commercial buildings include Prestige Dynasty, Prestige Nebula, Prestige Shantiniketan Commercial Precinct, Prestige Atrium, Prestige Meridian, Prestige Towers and Prestige Pegasus. Its retail buildings include UB City, the Forum, the Forum Vijaya Mal and the Forum Value Mall. Its hospitality building include Angsana Oasis Spa & Resort, Oakwood Premier Prestige Bangalore serviced residences and The 24 Tech Hotel. Under the labels of Morph Design Co and Prestige Interiors, the Company offers customized interior design solutions and fit out services.

Q3 Results & forecast :
The debit pile of this company is huge and Management is well aware of this.  Efforts to bring down the debt by QIP preferential offers are in the offing.  25% vs. our estimate of 26.5% (down 506bps YoY) led to EBITDA of Rs 1.2bn and PAT of Rs 0.8bn, ~10% below estimates.  The  lower  margins  were  attributable  to majority  of  revenues  being  recognized  from   mid- income projects such as Tranquility (Rs 1.5bn) and Bella Vista (Rs 1.1bn) during the quarter. Other expenses increased 68% QoQ to Rs 251mn  on  account of re- classification of agent commissions  underoverheads vs. project-level expenses (material expenses).

Technical view : 
Although PEPL continues to have a strong launch pipeline, PEPL continues  to invest in augmenting its land bank through a mix of JDAs and outright acquisitions and is incurring annual capex of Rs 5-6bn on annuity assets. Hence, the key monitorable in our view is the company’s ability to keep debt levels in check in FY14-15E (PEPL’s consolidated net debt increased by Rs 4.0bn in 1HFY14 to Rs 21.9bn). Maintain Sell around Rs.165 stop loss of 170 with TP of Rs 150 /share 


Traders Delight :
The scrip provides enough trading opportunities for the risky traders.  Any fall below Rs.140 should be considered as an opportunity to buy and hold the stock for a target price of Rs.170 

Fore more Trading Ideas get in touch with us.  Avail our premium services to reap huge profits from volatile markets.

Smart Investor
Ravina Consulting
No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas
mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Wednesday, March 5, 2014

Purvankara Projects - Avoid

Company Background :

Puravankara Projects Limited is an India-based company. The Company is engaged in the development and construction of residential and commercial properties. The Company operates primarily in India. The Company has projects across Bangaluru, Chennai, Coimbatore, Kochi, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mysore, Mumbai and Colombo. Its completed projects includes purva fountainsquare, purva jade, purva vantage, purva grande, purva Riviera, purva panorama, purva carnation, purva pavilion, purva fairmont, purva heights, purva iris, purva graces, purva park, purva paradise, castlemaine, purva nest, whitefield bougainvilla and uran park-Mumbai. As of March 31, 2012, the Company had 19 subsidiaries.

Performance 

A comparative chart with its peers in Bangalore segment reveals interesting facts.  It has fallen way ahead of others in the recent slide sinking to a new 52 week low.  A consolidation in Rs.45-50 is expected sooner than later.  While Sobha, Prestige and Brigade scrips have fallen around 18% Purvankara had steepest fall of 47% clearly indicate the weakness in the fundamentals of the share.


52 Week Low :

Will you buy this stock ? No The investors are exiting the stock since the expectation is that there will be fall in total sales and revenue in next 2 quarters.  The Realty scene in major cities in India is down since there is contraction in the income levels of the users and tepid increase in the annual salaries of the workforce.

Provident Housing :

The company forayed into low cost housing projects with a 100% subsidiary which is yet to turn green.  The large size of units that remain unsold is a cause for worry.

Buying Opportunity :

During last year the company raised money through QIP at Rs.80 levels to raise INR 1.84 Billion hence the book value continues to remain high.  The debt levels are also manageable.  The scrip becomes a compelling buy only after we review the performance in Q4 quarterly results and management perception of the realty scenario in major markets they have projects.  

Smart Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting

No.24 Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamannahalli
BANGALORE 560048

For Stock Advise + Ideas

mail to intellinvestor@gmail.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Visit - www.ingeniousinvestor.in

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Sunday, February 12, 2012

BSE / NSE Weekly Review Feb 11, 2012




Key benchmark indices rose in the week ended 11th February 2012, as inflows from foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) remained robust. This was the 6th consecutive weekly gain. Trading
remained upbeat throughout the week. However, some profit booking emerged on Friday (10
February 2012) after disappointing industrial production data for the month of December 2011
dampened investor sentiment.

Industrial production rose a slower-than-expected 1.8% in December 2011, government data
showed on Friday, 10 February 2011. The growth in December 2011 was sharply lower than
5.9% growth in November 2011. Manufacturing output, which constitutes about 76% of industrial
production, rose 1.8% from a year earlier, the federal statistics office said.

India's January exports rose 10.1% to $25.4 billion while imports rose 20.3% to $40.1 billion,
leaving a trade deficit of $14.7 billion, Trade Secretary Rahul Khullar said on Thursday. India's
exports reached $242.8 billion between April and January, Khullar said, citing provisional data.
The BSE Sensex rose 0.8% to 17,749 in the week ended Friday, 10th February 2012 while the
S&P CNX Nifty rose 1.1% to 5,382. The rise in the broader indices was amplified. The BSE MidCap index rose 3.3% to 6,247 while the BSE Small-Cap index rose 3.1% to 6,891. The sectoral
indices sentiments were extremely positive with the Healthcare index being the only loser. BSE
Realty, BSE CD and BSE Metal were the largest gainers.

Realty: 
The BSE Realty index rose 5.8% to close at 1,887 levels. Among the heavyweights, DLF rose
marginally (0.2%) while Unitech and HDIL jumped significantly (12.9% and 18.0% respectively)
in the week. Shares in real estate companies were up on expectations of a pick-up in deal flows
and a fall in interest rates, which would benefit both builders and real estate buyers. Unitech
rose on account of pressure from the Norwegian government to survive Uninor, a venture by
Telenor and Unitech Ltd. Telenor, in which the Norwegian government has a ~54% stake, owns
nearly two-thirds of Uninor with infrastructure provider Unitech holding  the rest. Norway’s IT
minister, Rigmor Aasrud, met her Indian counterpart, Kapil Sibal, to discuss the Supreme Court’s
cancellation of licenses of telecom operator Uninor.


Consumer Durables (CD): 
The BSE CD index rose 5.8% to close at 6,169 levels. Among the heavyweights, Titan, Rajesh Exports and Gitanjali rose 5.3%, 2.4% and 5.5% respectively while Videocon fell 1.1%. TTK Prestige rose a whamming 38.9% in the week, establishing its spot among the large companies by market cap within the CD space. The company  clarified that it did not intend to exit the modular kitchen business but plans to expand it slowly after gaining experience. The company also has a plant coming up in Gujarat, which will add to the topline significantly.



Metals:  
The BSE Metals index rose 4.1% to close at 12,364 levels. All the industry majors were gainers. Tata Steel and Coal India rose 1.7% each while Jindal Steel, Hindalco and Sterlite rose 8.5%, 0.2% and 5.1% respectively. Tata Steel issued an encouraging future outlook after reporting 3rd quarter consolidated net loss of Rs 603 cr as  against net profit of Rs 1003 cr in Q3FY11. Turnover rose 13.79% to Rs 33103 cr in Q3FY12 over Q3FY11. With regard to future outlook, Tata Steel said softening raw material prices is expected to ease product-costing pressures from Q4FY12 onwards. Tata Steel expects steel demand in India to improve with RBI indicating progrowth monetary policy. Steel prices remain firm and with traditionally strong volumes in the fourth quarter and the company's profitability is  expected to improve.

The outlook for steel demand in Europe remains stable. Strengthening  steel prices in Europe and restocking will result in better margins of Tata Steel’s European operations in the coming quarters. Tata Steel’s South East Asian operations are expected to perform better with activities in Thailand coming back to normal. Reconstruction activities  will boost long products demand. Jindal Steel and Power plans to spend $300 million in developing new and existing mines in Africa. The move is part of the company's strategy to source coal assets abroad to meet raw material demand of its steel and power plants at home.

Bankex: 
The BSE Bankex index rose 3.0% in the week to close at 11,987 levels. All the large players, namely ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI and Axis Bank, were gainers, rising 1.5%, 1.9%, 3.3% and 1.6% respectively. SBI recently said that the Government of India has agreed to inject approximately Rs 7900 crore into bank by way of preferential allotment of equity shares to help SBI achieve minimum 8% Tier I CAR by 31  March 2012. The government currently owns 59.40% of SBI. HDFC Bank hit a record high on Friday. A unit of Singapore state investment company Temasek Holdings Pte sold 1.59 crore shares of ICICI Bank through bulk deals on NSE for Rs 1472 crore during the week. Allamanda Investments Pte sold the shares in India's
largest private-sector lender by assets at an average Rs 924.05 per share in the week. Goldman Sachs Investments Mauritius mopped up 64.65 lakh shares in the bulk deal at a price of Rs 924 per share.

PSU: 
The BSE PSU index rose 2.5% in the week to 7,673 levels. ONGC, Coal India, NTPC and SBI rose 0.3%, 1.7%, 2.0% and 3.3%. As mentioned previously, the Government of India has agreed to inject money into SBI. NTPC paid an interim dividend of Rs 2,885.92 cr for the current fiscal. Net profit of the company rose 10% to Rs 2,130.39 crore for the quarter ended December 31,
2011 due to increase in coal prices.

Healthcare (HC): 
The BSE Healthcare (HC) index was the only loser in the week, falling 1.0% to close at 6,347. Among the giants, Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s and Lupin were losers, falling 2.7%, 3.0% and 4.1% respectively while Cipla rose 1.2%. Lupin Limited is planning to invest $20 million in setting up a new manufacturing facility in Pune. Lupin will also launch a cancer drug, which is yet to go through the third clinical trial. It is expected to hit the market during the next financial year.






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Thursday, June 23, 2011

IB Real Estate Buy on steep correction

/photo.cms?msid=8900956Indiabulls Real Estate

This is another counter that turned around on an annual basis in 2010-11. It reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 160 crore compared to a consolidated net loss of Rs 16 crore in 2009-10.

Our Recommendation :

This is a traders delight. Buy below 100 levels and look for a target of 150 holding period 3 months

The scrip has been giving fantastic returns for those who are buying at support levels and selling on a gain of 25-30%

Investor has to sell whenever it peaks out and again re enter.

Bought to you by


Ingenious Investor

Equity Research Division


Ravina Consulting

Pattamal Plaza

3rd Cross Kamanahalli

BANGALORE 560084


For Free Stock Advise + Ideas

sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com

Talk / SMS 08105737966


Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com

Follow us - www.twitter.com/smartinvestor