Showing posts with label Share Tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Share Tips. Show all posts

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Buy Jain Irrigation


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Buy IVRCL Infra


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Buy IRB Infrastructure


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Ravina Consulting
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Mahadevapura Post
BANGALORE 560048

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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
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Buy Indian Hotels


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Ravina Consulting
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India Cements - Buy on dips


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Buy IDBI


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Ravina Consulting
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Mahadevapura Post
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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
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HOEC - Buy


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Ravina Consulting
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Mahadevapura Post
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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
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Buy GE Shipping


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Ravina Consulting
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Mahadevapura Post
BANGALORE 560048

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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
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Godrej Properties - Buy


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Ravina Consulting
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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Source : ET

Bought to you by

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
No.429 Mahavir Tuscan
Near Hoodi, Whitefield
Mahadevapura Post
BANGALORE 560048

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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Fortis Healthcare - Buy


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Ravina Consulting
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Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Exide Industries - Buy


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Ravina Consulting
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sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

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Sunday, July 12, 2009

Indian Share / Stock Markets BSE NSE Report 10 July 2009

Market Commentary 10 July 2009

A sell-off in index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) triggered a sharp fall on the bourses in the last one hour of trade today. Power, realty and capital goods stocks dropped. However, IT stocks held firm after IT bellwether Infosys Technologies raised the lower end of its annual forecast in dollar terms. The BSE 30-share Sensex fell 253.24 points or 1.84%, off close to 390 points from the day's high and up 90 points from the day's low. The S&P CNX Nifty regained 4,000 mark after falling below that level in late trade. The market breadth turned weak in contrast to a positive breadth earlier in the day. Weak global markets and lower US index futures dented sentiment.

The BSE Sensex posted its biggest weekly fall in more than eight months. The benchmark index lost 9.4% in the week ended Friday, 10 July 2009.

The market was volatile. The market pared gains after a firm opening triggered by better-than-expected Q1 results from Infosys before trading hours. The Sensex slipped into the red after moving between the positive and negative terrain in mid-morning trade. A bout of volatility was witnessed in early afternoon trade. The market surged in mid-afternoon after Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said the rise in industrial production in May 2009 is not a surprise and the worst is over for industrial output. A total reversal of trend was witnessed later as the market slumped in late trade.

India's industrial output rose 2.7% in May 2009 compared to a revised growth of 1.2% in April 2009 government announced at 12:00 IST today showed. April's annual growth rate was revised down to 1.2% from 1.4% previously. Manufacturing production rose 2.5% in May 2009 from a year earlier.

Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla today said industrial output is showing further improvement and he expects the positive trend in output to continue.

Road transport minister Kamal Nath today said the government expects to build 12,000 kilometres of roads this year, with a preference to use a toll model for new roads as far as possible.

Meanwhile, Farm Minister Sharad Pawar said today poor monsoon rains in North India is a serious problem. He, however, said the government is ready with plans to deal with the weak rainfall. The rains were 8% below normal in early July, reviving after the driest June in 83 years, but water in the main reservoirs has more than halved, putting at risk even winter-sown oilseeds and wheat.

Junior finance minister Namo Narain Meena said today there are no plans to revise interest rates on small savings. Meena said the government will to initiate institutional reforms which will encompass subsidies, taxs and disinvestment to bring fiscal deficit under control.

Rating agency Moody's today said India's Union Budget 2009-2010 is in line with its stable sovereign outlook on the country. Finance Minister (FM) Pranab Mukherjee in the Union budget had set a sharply higher fiscal deficit target to 6.8% for the financial year ending March 2010 after he increased spending on roads, power and aid to the poor. The higher fiscal deficit has raised fears of a downgrade of India's sovereign rating by the global credit rating agencies.

European shares fell on Friday, with oil producers leading the losers after US oil firm Chevron Corp late on Thursday warned that second-quarter earnings would be hit by a sharp decline in US refining margins. Key benchmark indices in France, Germay and UK fell by between 0.67% to 0.73%.

Asian stocks were mostly in the red. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore and South Korea fell by between 0.04% to 0.46%. The key benchmark indices in Singapore and Taiwan rose by between 0.02% to 0.32%.

Trading in the US index futures indicated Dow could fall 62 points at the opening bell today, 10 July 2009.

Wall Street ended a choppy Thursday trade largely flat. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 4.76 points, or 0.1%, to 8,183.17. The S&P 500 index rose 3.12 points, or 0.4%, to 882.68, while the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 5.38 points, or 0.3%, to 1,752.55.

On the economic front, the latest initial weekly jobless claims fell more than expected to 565,000. It was the first time since January 2009 that initial claims came in below 600,000. However, June retail sales report disappointed as consumers eased spending amid higher gasoline prices and rising unemployment.

The BSE 30-share Sensex fell 253.24 points or 1.84% to 13,504.22. The Sensex rose 139.73 points at the day's high of 13,897.19 in mid-afternoon trade. At the day's low of 13,418.39, Sensex fell 339.07 points in late trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty was down 77.05 points or 1.89% to 4,003.90. Nifty July 2009 futures were at 3971.90, at a huge discount of 32 points over the spot closing of 4003.90. Turnover in NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment rose to Rs 57,891.12 crore from Rs 53,047.24 crore on Thursday, 9 July 2009.

BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4,586 crore, lower than Rs 4,894.55 crore on Thursday, 9 July 2009.

The market breadth turned weak in late trade in contrast to a positive breadth earlier in the day. On BSE, 770 shares rose as compared with 1,781 that fell. A total of 80 shares remained unchanged.

From the 30 shares Sensex pack, 24 fell and the rest rose.

Indian stocks have risen sharply this year boosted by strong inflow of foreign funds. The BSE Sensex is up 3,856.91 points or 39.97% in calendar year 2009, as on 10 July 2009. From a 3-year closing low of 8,160.40 on 9 March 2009, the Sensex has risen 5,343.82 points or 65.48% as on 9 July 2009.

Coming back to today's trade, the BSE Mid-Cap index was down 1.92% and underperformed the Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index was down 1.72%. It outperformed the Sensex.

The BSE IT index (up 2.17%), the BSE TECk index (down 0.09%), the BSE FMCG index (down 0.77%), the BSE Auto index (down 1.29%), the BSE Metal index (down 1.35%), the BSE Consumer Durables index (down 1.71%), the BSE Healthcare index (down 1.77%), outperformed the Sensex.

The BSE Oil & Gas index (down 3.28%), the BSE Power index (down 2.54%), the BSE Capital Goods index (down 2.28%), the BSE Realty index (down 2.1%), the BSE PSU index (down 2.03%), the BSE Bankex (down 1.86%), underperformed the Sensex.

India's largest private sector firm by market capitalisation Reliance Industries (RIL) was down 3.99% to Rs 1,778.40. The Supreme Court on Tuesday declined to stay the Bombay High Court's verdict in a dispute over the sale of natural gas by Reliance Industries (RIL) to Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL).

The Supreme Court didn't grant RIL' plea to stay the order of the Bombay High Court until the resolution of the case and issued notices to the companies and the Centre. Both companies have to reply to appeals filed by each other by 20 July 2009, when the matter is scheduled to be heard. The government must also respond by then, the court said.

RIL, late last week, moved the Supreme court, challenging the Bombay High Court judgment asking it to supply gas to the former at a price that is 44% lower than fixed by the government. In its appeal filed in the Supreme Court on Saturday 4 July 2009, Reliance Industries contended that the high court had erred in deciding the three terms - quantity, tenure and price of gas supply to power plants of Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) affiliates.

Oil stocks were mixed as crude oil fell today as the dollar gained against the euro and the yen, reducing the appeal of commodities to investors as a hedge against inflation. India's largest state-run oil exploration firm by revenue ONGC fell 1.26%. But Cairn India rose 1.63%. Crude oil for August delivery fell 16 cents to $60.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The fall in crude oil prices would result in lower realizations from crude sales for oil exploration firms.

PSU OMCs fell after oil minister Murli Deora on Thursday said that the government will roll back the Rs 4 a litre hike in petrol prices and the Rs 2 a litre increase in diesel rates if international crude oil prices stabilize between $50 and 60 a barrel. HPCL, BPCL and Indian Oil Corporation fell by between 3.49% to 4.19%. The Government had, last week, raised petrol and diesel prices citing spike in international crude oil prices to $70 a barrel.

A recent sharp slide in crude oil prices augurs well for PSU OMCs. Lower crude oil prices will reduce under-recoveries at the state-run oil firms on domestic sale of petrol, diesel, LPG and kerosene at a controlled price.

Contrary to market expectations, the Union Budget 2009-2010 did not include a roadmap for decontrol of fuel prices in the country even as the finance minister said an expert panel will be set up to look into the matter of fuel pricing.

India's second largest IT exporter by sales Infosys rose 2.97% after the company raised the lower end of its annual forecast in dollar terms at the time of announcing Q1 June 2009 results before trading hours today. The management comments that global information technology spending may recover in 2010 on a possible revival of the global economy, also boosted the counter.

Infosys said consolidated revenues in dollar terms are expected to fall 3.1% to 4.6% at $4.45 billion to $4.52 billion in the year ending March 2010 (FY 2010). In April 2009 at the time of announcing Q1 June 2009 results, Infosys has forecast a revenue of between $4.35 to $4.52.

Infosys said consolidated earnings per American Depositary Share is expected to fall between 11.1% to 12.4% at between $1.97 and $2.00 in FY 2010. The company had forecast earnings per American Depositary Share of between $1.91 to $2 in April 2009.

However, the IT major Infosys has revised downwards its earnings and revenue guidance in rupee terms for the year ending March 2010 (FY 2010). Infosys' consolidated net profit as Indian GAAP declined 5.3% to Rs 1527 crore on a 2.89% fall in revenue to Rs 5472 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q4 March 2009. The results were better-than-market expectations.

Infosys expects prices in the fiscal year to March 2010 to drop by 5% as its overseas clients battle slowing economy, senior officials said at the time of announcing the Q1 results.

Other IT stocks rose after better-than-expected Q1 June 2009 results from Infosys. India's largest IT exporter by sales TCS rose 1.56%. India's third largest IT exporter by sales Wipro rose 3.37% as its American depository receipt (ADR) rose 3.39% on Thursday, 9 July 2009.

Realty stocks fell after the Finance Minister made no major announcement to boost the debt ridden sector reeling under slump in demand for new homes in the Budget. DLF, Unitech, Indiabulls Real Estate, Housing Development & Infrastructure, Omaxe, Akruti City fell by between 0.04% to 4.98%.

Bank stocks declined after the government did not announce financial sector reforms in the Budget. Market expectations on financial sector reforms were high. The government's annual economic survey released ahead of the Budget had called for a phased increase in the foreign direct investment limit in banks. Voting rights in banks should be aligned with equity holdings, the Survey had said.

India's biggest bank in terms of branch network State Bank of India (SBI) fell 3.64%. India's second largest private sector bank by net profit HDFC Bank fell 2.2% even as its American depository receipt (ADR) rose 1.88% on Thursday, 9 July 2009. India's largest private sector bank by net profit ICICI Bank fell 1.18% even as its ADR rose 1% overnight.

India's biggest dedicated housing finance firm by operating income Housing Development Finance Corporation fell 1.3% as the finance minister did not announce a hike in tax sops for housing loans in the Budget contrary to market expectations.

Capital goods stocks fell on profit taking after recent gains triggered by a thrust on infrastructure development in the Union Budget 2009-2010. BEML, Crompton Greaves, Punj Lloyd, Siemens, Larsen & Toubro, Praj Industries, Bharat Heavy Electricals fell by between 0.64% to 8.13%.

Among construction shares, Punj Lloyd, Era Infra Engineering, IVRCL Infrastructure & Projects and Nagarjuna Construction Company, fell by between 0.4% to 5.24%. Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on 6 July 2009, provided a thrust on various infrastructure projects in the Budget which will benefit construction firms in the form of increased orders. The government announced more spending for urban, water and road projects. The allocation to National Highway development program allocation was increased 23% to Rs 15948 crore.

Cement stocks fell on profit taking after a sharp surge this week triggered by the Budget's thrust on the infrastructure sector. ACC, Birla Corporation of India and Ambuja Cements, Ultratech Cements, fell by between 0.44% to 6.8%.

Power stocks fell on lack of any major sops in the Budget for the power sector. NTPC, Reliance Infrastructure, Tata Power Company, Relianc Power fell by between 0.46% to 6.5%.

Metal stocks fell as metal prices were subdued on the London Metal Exchange. Steel Authority of India, Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel, Sterlite Industries, National Aluminum Company fell by between 2.97% to 6.75%.

India's largest drug maker by sales Ranbaxy Laboratories fell 3.65% after company said it has voluntarily recalled a single batch of skin infection drugs, Sotret Isotretinoin capsules in 40 miligram strength, from the US market. The company said that the move to withdraw this lot of medicines fell under the US FDA Class III recall. Such a recall implies that the use of or exposure to the product is not likely to cause adverse health consequences.

Finance minister on 6 July 2009, reduced basic customs duty on influenza vaccine and nine other specified life-saving drugs used for treating breast cancer, hepatitis-B, rheumatic arthritis, etc.

The government has also reduced basic customs duty for two bulk drugs used in manufacturing these medicines from 10% to 5%. Bulk drugs are processed raw materials used in manufacturing the final doses of medicines.

Some FMCG stocks rose as the Finance Minister reiterated the government's thrust on the agriculture sector in Union Budget 2009-2010. FMCG firms derives a substantial revenue from rural sector. REI Agro, Jain Irrigation, Tata Tea, Nestle India, Hindutan Unilever, Dabur india rose by between 0.16% to 2.45%.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, while presenting the Union Budget for 2009-10, said the government will ensure that agriculture grows by at least 4% per year.

The government has announced additional interest rate subvention of 1% to farmers who pay short-term farm loans on schedule. The government has also decided to extend agriculture debt waiver by six months and to provide additional Rs 1000 crore over interim budget for irrigation.

Auto stocks fell even on retention of lower excise duties in the Budget. Ashok Leyland, Hero Honda Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra fell by between 2.01% to 8.66%.

There was no across-the-board increase in excise duties after a sharp reduction in excise duties in two stages since December 2008 which was announced as a part of the government's stimulus package for the economy. A section of the market was fearing rollback of excise duties in the Budget due to signs of a recovery in the Indian economy.

India's largest commercial vehicle maker by sales Tata Motors fell 0.88% even as company's Vice Chairman Ravi Kant said its British luxury auto brands Jaguar and Land Rover (JLR), which have posted over Rs 1,700 crore annual losses, will turn profitable in two years. He further said the acquisition of the two marques was not over-priced.

Unitech clocked the highest volume of 2.32 crore shares on BSE. Cals Refineries (2.27 crore shares), Suzlon Energy (2.1 crore shares), Mahindra Satyam (2 crore shares) and Reliance Natural Resources (1.01 crore shares) were the other volume toppers in that order.

Educomp Solutions clocked the highest turnover of Rs 253.78 crore on BSE. Reliance Industries (Rs 200.85 crore), Reliance Capital (Rs 193.25 crore), Suzlon Energy (Rs 175.54 crore) and Unitech (Rs 157.14 crore) were the other turnover toppers in that order.

Brokerage Recommendations 10 July 09

Brokerage Recommendations 10 July 09

Buy SAIL with a target of Rs 168 and stop loss of Rs 148, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 153, up 0.33% on the BSE.

Sell Pantaloon Retail with a target of Rs 250 and stop loss of Rs 292, says Mitesh Thakkar, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 266, down 5.8% on the BSE.

Buy Educomp with a target of Rs 4600 and stop loss of Rs 3400, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 3729, down 4.44% on the BSE.

Buy Tata Motors with a target of Rs 291 and stop loss of Rs 270, says Mitesh Thakkar, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 269, down 0.88% on the BSE.

Hold PTC with a target of Rs 95 where one can exit and keep a stop loss of Rs 80, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 85, down 0.93% on the BSE.

Buy Mundra Port with a target of Rs 550 and stop loss of Rs 509, says Mitesh Thakkar, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 514, up 4.08% on the BSE.

The market is in the mood to go down so it ignored the good IIP data and Infosys decent numbers, says a market expert, on CNBC TV18. The budget was not liked by the market and now the global correction is putting more pressure, he says. Now we hope the momentum gets arrested as Nifty is headed to 3600, he feels.

Nifty support of 4050 has been broken and fresh downside has opened up, says Ashwani GUjral, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Nifty is headed to 3800-3700, he adds. July will see more correction, he says.

We are in a bear market and a further correction is on the cards, says K R Bharat, market expert, on CNBC TV18. It is premature to talk of any turnaround, he adds.

In F&O call, buy Nifty July futures with a target of 4150 and stop loss of 4085, says Raj Kishore Bang, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. There could be a short-term relief rally, he adds.

In F&O call, sell Nifty July futures with a target of 3860 and stop loss of 4280, says Sandeep Wagle of Angel Broking, on CNBC Awaaz. The short-term trend is negative and the market is likely to be weak for next 2-3 weeks, he says.

Buy Oriental Bank of Commerce with a target of Rs 170-175 and stop loss of Rs 159, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 162, up 0.65% on the BSE.

Buy BPCL with a target of Rs 500-525 and stop loss of Rs 440, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 461, down 1.96% on the BSE.

Buy Kesoram with a target of Rs 320-360 and stop loss of Rs 260, says Prakash Gaba, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 297, up 6.3% on the BSE.

Sell BoI with a target of Rs 287 and stop loss of Rs 340, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 318, up 0.76% on the BSE.

Hold Emco with a target of Rs 90 after which it could rally further and keep a stop loss of Rs 66, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 76, up 2.35% on the BSE.

Buy Noida Toll Bridge with a target of Rs 45-50 and stop loss of Rs 32, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 36, up 2.41% on the BSE.

The world economy is still in a "very tough period", says Warrant Buffet of Berkshire Hathaway, on CNBC TV18. A second stimulus from the US government may be needed to see some recovery, he says.

Buy Bayer Cropscience with a target of Rs 450 in 18 months, says Rajen Shah of Angel Broking, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 287, down 0.43% on the BSE.

Sell Indiabulls Real Estate with a target of Rs 160 and stop loss of Rs 210, says Prasad Kushe, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 191, up 2.3% on the BSE.

Buy BEL July futures with a target of Rs 1440 and stop loss of Rs 1330, says Neera Jain of crnindia.com, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1398, up 1.01% on the BSE.

Duetsche Bank upgrades Thermax with a target of Rs 465, reports NDTV Profit. The stock is currently trading at Rs 405, up 1.61% on the BSE.

Buy GAIL July futures with a target of Rs 345 and stop loss of Rs 315, says Neera Jain of crnindia.com, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 319, down 1.7% on the BSE.

Buy Atlas Cycle with a target of Rs 165 in 18 months, says Rajen Shah of Angel Broking, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 121, up 9.97% on the BSE.

Buy Ambuja Cements at Rs 91 with target of Rs 115 in six months, says Ashu Baggri, technical analyst, on NDTV Profit. The stock is currently trading at Rs 96.40, down 0.8% on the BSE.

Book profits in LIC Housing Finance and buy again at Rs 475-500, says Rajesh Agarwal of CD Equisearch on NDTV Profit. The stock is currently trading at Rs 597.35, down 0.8% on the BSE.

Buy GMR Infra at Rs 115 with target of Rs 154, says Akshita Deshmukh, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 130.95, up 1.2% on the BSE.

Buy PTC with target of Rs 93, says Ashu Baggri, technical analyst, on NDTV Profit. Keep stop loss of Rs 81, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 85.40, down 0.5% on the BSE.

Buy Infosys on dips at Rs 1600 with target of Rs 1900-2000 in 12-15 months, says P Phani Sekhar of Angel Broking on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1726, up 2.9% on the BSE.

Hold Ambuja Cements with target of Rs 110 in six months, says Rajesh Agarwal of CD Equisearch on NDTV Profit. The stock is currently trading at Rs 96.80, down 0.4% on the BSE.

Hold HDIL with target of Rs 250-270, says Akshita Deshmukh, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 205.40, up 1.8% on the BSE.

May IIP Data: May mining sector growth has been announced at 3.7% versus 5.5%(YoY), reports NDTV Profit. May manufacturing sector growth is at 2.5% vs 4.5%, capital goods gowth at -3.6% vs 4.3% and electricity growth at 3.3% vs 2%(YoY), it adds.

The May IIP data has been announced at 2.7% versus 1.2% in April, reports NDTV Profit.

Hold Tata Motors with stop loss of Rs 265, says Ramesh Arora, technical analyst, on Zee Business. The stock is currently trading at Rs 279.50, up 2.6% on the BSE.

Hold Wipro because if it closes above Rs 390 then it will give good upmove, says Deepak Mohoni, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 386, up 3.7% on the BSE.

Buy L&T on every correction of 5-10% and hold for long term, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit BNP Paribas on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1382.10, down 0.5% on the BSE.

Hold Tata Teleservices and exit when it reaches Rs 39, says Ramesh Arora, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 32, he adds. Instead invest in a better stock, he says. The stock is currently trading at Rs 35, up 0.6% on the BSE.

Sell ITC on rally and buy again on dips, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It has been trading in a range for the past many days, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 210.80, down 1.2% on the BSE.

Hold L&T with stop loss of Rs 1360 breaking which it can go down to Rs 1100, says Ramesh Arora, technical analyst, on Zee Business. It has resistance at Rs 1450, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1387, down 0.2% on the BSE.

Hold Unitech with intra-day target of Rs 75, says Raj Kishore Bang, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 71.45, up 2.3% on the BSE.

Buy HPCL with intra-day gains of 5-8%, says Raj Kishore Bang, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep strict stop loss, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 336.55, up 1.1% on the BSE.

Buy Biocon with targets of Rs 234 and 237, says Rajat Bose, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss below Rs 222, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 232.50, up 1.8% on the BSE.

Short-term investors should exit Infosys, says Gaurang Shah of Geojit BNP Paribas on CNBC Awaaz. Long-term investors should keep an eye on the Q2 results before investing, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1725, up 2.9% on the BSE.

Sell Infosys with target of Rs 1450, says Rajiv Mehta of India Infoline on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1725.05, up 2.9% on the BSE.

Buy ITC with target of Rs 230-235, says Mitesh Thacker, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 212.55, down 0.4% on the BSE.

Buy Alstom Projects with target of Rs 515, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 505, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 505.80, down 0.1% on the BSE.

Buy KSK Energy with intra-day target of Rs 240, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 226, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 232.60, up 2.6% on the BSE.

Buy Wockhardt with intra-day target of Rs 132, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 126, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 128.40, up 1.3% on the BSE.

Buy Cairn India at Rs 210 with target of Rs 215, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 204, she adds. The stock is at Rs 209.05, up 1.4% on the BSE.

If the Nifty closes below 4020 then we can expect fresh downside in the market, says Mitesh Thacker, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18.

Buy SAIL at Rs 153 with target of Rs 157, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 149, she adds. The stock is at Rs 152.95, up 4% on the BSE.

Buy HDIL at Rs 202 with target of Rs 212, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 194, she adds. The stock is at Rs 201.75, up 0.5% on the BSE.

The Nifty may open at 4050-4060 levels, says Rajat Bose, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. He sees crucial support for the Nifty today at 4063-4041.

Indian Share / Stock Markets Report 9 July 2009

Market commentary 9 July 2009

The key benchmark indices closed flat after moving between positive and negative terrain throughout the day in what was a volatile trading session. The BSE 30-share Sensex was down 11.69 points or 0.08%, up close to 115 points from the day's low and off close to 120 points from the day's high. The 50-unit S&P CNX Nifty closed slightly higher. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries rose. The market breadth was weak.

The market was volatile. Stocks edged higher in early volatile trade after the International Monetary Fund revised upwards India's growth projection by 0.9% for 2009 and 2010. But the market slipped into the red in mid-morning trade on concerns over progress of India's annual monsoon and worries over a possible downgrade of the country's sovereign rating by rating agencies due to high fiscal deficit.

The market cut entire losses in early afternoon trade soon after government data showed headline inflation hovering the negative zone for a fourth consecutive week. The market once again slipped into the red in early afternoon trade before regaining positive zone. The Sensex moved between the positive and negative terrain in late trade.

Inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) fell 1.55% in the 12 months to 27 June 2009, compared with the previous week's annual decline of 1.3% government data showed at 12:00 IST today. However, the government revised upwards WPI for week ended 2 May 2009 to 1.48% from 0.48%.

Analysts say that last week's increase in petrol and diesel prices may rekindle inflation pressures in coming months. Consumer price inflation also remains high.

On the flip side, the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s latest World Economic Outlook said the global economy is likely to decline 1.4%, slightly steeper than the 1.3% contraction it saw in April 2009 in calendar 2009. However it foresaw a stronger recovery next year. Economic growth could hit 2.5 % in 2010, a more optimistic figure than the 1.9% the IMF reported in April.

For India, the IMF has revised upwards because of positive impact from fiscal and monetary stimulus packages. The multilateral financial institution now expects Asia's third largest economy to grow at 5.4% in calendar 2009, compared with 4.5% projected in April this year. In 2010, the Indian economy is expected to grow at a much faster rate of 6.5%. Early this, the Indian government forecast a 6.7% growth in GDP for the year ending March 2010.

Recent data has confirmed a recovery in India's economy. India's car sales rose an annual 7.8 % in June 2009 over June 2008, climbing for a fifth straight month and reinforcing the country was one of the few markets where demand has been picking up. The government will release industrial output data for the month of May 2009 on Friday, 10 July 2009.

Weak monsoon, however, is a cause for concern. India's huge farm economy may be hit by a bad drought if its annual monsoon rains remain weak with the window for planting crops closing by mid-July, a report from a US Agricultural Department attache said. India's monsoon rains have now covered all of the country, but the country's Meteorological Department said last week that as of 1 July 2009, the rains were 29% below normal.

Meanwhile, global rating agency Standard & Poor's Ratings Services on Wednesday said it maintains its view that India's high fiscal deficits are not sustainable in the medium term and if fiscal consolidation is delayed, there is a risk that the sovereign credit ratings on India may be lowered. S&P ranks India's long-term local-currency rating at BBB-, their lowest investment grade.

A reduction in credit rating would make it difficult for Indian firms to borrow overseas, adding pressure to the domestic credit system, which threatens to be swamped by higher government borrowing.

Finance Minister (FM) Pranab Mukherjee set a sharply higher fiscal deficit target to 6.8% for the financial year ending March 2010 after he increased spending on roads, power and aid to the poor.

The next major trigger for the market is earnings of India Inc. for the quarter ended June 2009. India's second largest IT major by sales Infosys kickstarts the result season on Friday, 10 July 2009.

European stocks rose on Thursday as a rebound in oil prices boosted shares of energy companies such as Total. The key benchmark indices in France, Germany and UK were up by between 0.67% to 1.21%.

Most Asian shares rose on Thursday, with some markets off their lows as investors took note of an after-hours rise in US aluminium major Alcoa, though recent weakness in oil and commodity prices kept the mood gloomy on the prospects for a quick economic recovery. The key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, China, Singapore and Taiwan rose by between 0.39% to 2.12%. The key benchmark indices in South Korea, and Japan were down by between 0.01% to 1.38%.

China's passenger-vehicle sales rose 48% in June 2009 over June 2008, the biggest jump since February 2006, as tax cuts and government subsidies helped the nation extend its lead over the US as the world's largest auto market this year.

Alcoa swung to a second-quarter loss, due to falling aluminum prices and volume, which led to a big drop in revenue. However, the company recorded some sequential improvement and beat Street expectations.

Trading in the US index futures indicated Dow could rise 42 points at the opening bell today, 9 July 2009.

US markets ended flat yesterday, 8 July 2009 after a seesaw session as investors rotated into defensive stocks. The Dow Jones industrials rose 14.81 points, or 0.2%, to 8,178.41. The S&P 500 index fell 1.47 points, or 0.2%, to 879.56 and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1 points, or 0.1%, to 1,747.17.

On the economic front, some positive news came out of the housing sector. Demand for US mortgages rose 11% last week as mortgage rates again receded.

Closer home, foreign funds bought shares worth Rs 4,356.70 crore in the fist few days of July 2009 (till Wednesday, 8 July 2009). The strong inflows reflected subscription by foreign funds in qualified institutional placement by Indian firms. On a cumulative basis, foreign funds bought shares worth Rs 28,889 crore shares in calendar 2009, till 8 July 2009.

The BSE 30-share Sensex was down 11.69 points or 0.08% to 13,757.46. The Sensex rose 110.03 points at the day's high of 13,879.18 in early trade. At the day's low of 13,643.97, Sensex fell 125.18 points in mid-morning trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty was up 2.05 points or 0.05% to 4,080.95. Nifty July 2009 futures were at 4075.20, at a discount of 5.75 points as compared to the spot closing of 4080.95. Turnover in NSE's futures & options (F&O) segment was Rs 53,047.24 crore, sharply lower than Rs 66,588.76 crore on Wednesday, 8 July 2009.

BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4,877 crore, lower than Rs 5,400.03 crore on Wednesday, 8 July 2009.

Indian stocks have risen sharply this year boosted by strong inflow of foreign funds. The BSE Sensex is up 4,110.15 points or 42.6% in calendar year 2009, as on 9 July 2009. From a 3-year closing low of 8,160.40 on 9 March 2009, the Sensex has risen 5,597.06 points or 68.58% as on 9 July 2009.

Coming back to today's trade, the market breadth was weak. On BSE, 1070 shares rose as compared with 1,463 that fell. A total of 98 shares remained unchanged.

From the 30 shares Sensex pack, 14 rose and rest fell.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 0.54% and outperformed the Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index was down 0.14% and underperformed the Sensex.

The BSE Metal index (up 1.53%), the BSE Healthcare index (up 1.05%), the BSE FMCG index (up 1.02%), the BSE Oil & Gas index (up 0.91%), the BSE PSU index (up 0.18%), the BSE Auto index (up 0.06%), the BSE Power index (up 0.05%), the BSE TECk index (down 0.01%), outperformed the Sensex.

The BSE Consumer Durables index (down 1.43%), the BSE Capital Goods index (down 1.07%), the BSE IT index (down 0.63%), the BSE Bankex (down 0.36%), the BSE Realty index (down 0.2%), underperformed the Sensex.

India's largest private sector firm by market capitalisation Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 1.26% to 1,852.35 on bargain hunting after a recent fall. But the stock was volatile. It moved between a low Rs 1,832 and a high of Rs 1873.70. The Supreme Court on Tuesday declined to stay the Bombay High Court's verdict in a dispute over the sale of natural gas by Reliance Industries (RIL) to Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL).

The Supreme Court didn't grant RIL' plea to stay the order of the Bombay High Court until the resolution of the case and issued notices to the companies and the Centre. Both companies have to reply to appeals filed by each other by 20 July 2009, when the matter is scheduled to be heard. The government must also respond by then, the court said.

RIL, late last week, moved the Supreme court, challenging the Bombay High Court judgment asking it to supply gas to the former at a price that is 44% lower than fixed by the government. In its appeal filed in the Supreme Court on Saturday 4 July 2009, Reliance Industries contended that the high court had erred in deciding the three terms - quantity, tenure and price of gas supply to power plants of Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) affiliates.

Oil stocks were mixed after an overnight sharp slide in crude oil prices. India's largest state-run oil exploration firm by revenue ONGC fell 1.01%. But Cairn India rose 1.43% as oil recovered on Thursday after Wednesday's steep slide. Light, sweet crude futures for delivery in August 2009 contract dropped $2.79 or 4.43% to $60.14 per barrel on New York Mercantile Exchange on Wednesday, 8 July 2009 as US government data showed a larger-than-expected rise in distillate and gasoline inventories last week. The fall in crude oil prices would result in lower realizations from crude sales for oil exploration firms.

Crude oil rebounded today from a seven-week low as traders took the view that the decline in prices during the longest losing streak this year was overdone. Crude oil for August delivery gained as much as 72 cents, or 1.2%, to $60.86 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange today.

The overnight sharp fall in oil prices boosted shares of PSU OMCs. BPCL, HPCL and Indian Oil Corporation rose by between 0.58% to 2.23%. Lower crude oil prices will reduce under-recoveries at the state-run oil firms on domestic sale of petrol, diesel, LPG and kerosene at a controlled price. The government, last week, hiked petrol prices by Rs 4 per liter and diesel prices by Rs 2 per liter.

But, contrary to market expectations, the Union Budget 2009-2010 did not include a roadmap for decontrol of fuel prices in the country but the finance minister said it will set up a expert panel to look into the matter of fuel pricing.

Metal stocks rose after US metals giant Alcoa reported better-than-expected results after trading hours in the US on Wednesday and after metal stocks climbed in Europe on Thursday. Steel Authority of India, Tata Steel, Sterlite Industries, Hindustan Zinc rose by between 0.46% to 4.53%.

India's second largest IT firm by sales Infosys fell 1.7% ahead of its Q1 June 2009 result tomorrow, 10 July 2009. The company's revenue as well as profits are seen falling sequentially due to a firm rupee. Investors would closely watch the managements comments for signs of recovery in the business environment. Its ADR fell 2.75% overnight.

A total of four brokerages expect a between 8% to 16.1% fall in Infosys' consolidated net profit at between Rs 1353.30 crore to Rs 1483.80 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q4 March 2009. Their estimates peg a between 3% to 6.5% fall in Infosys' sales at between Rs 5269.10 crore to Rs 5466 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q4 March 2009

FMCG stocks rose as the Finance Minister reiterated the government's thrust on the agriculture sector in Union Budget 2009-2010. FMCG firms derives a substantial revenue from rural sector. REI Agro, Jain Irrigation, Tata Tea, ITC, United Spirits, Dabur india rose by between 1.14 % to 4.97%.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, while presenting the Union Budget for 2009-10, said the government will ensure that agriculture grows by at least 4% per year.

The government has announced additional interest rate subvention of 1% to farmers who pay short-term farm loans on schedule. The government has also decided to extend agriculture debt waiver by six months and to provide additional Rs 1000 crore over interim budget for irrigation.

Capital goods stocks fell on profit taking even as the Budget laid a major emphasis on infrastructure development. Crompton Greaves, Punj Lloyd, Praj Industries, Siemens, Bharat Heavy Electricals fell by between 1.24% to 3.42%.

India's largest engineering & construction firm by sales Larsen & Toubro fell 1.68% after company's Chairman and Managing Director A M Naik sold 39,185 shares or 0.01% stake in the company worth Rs 6.42 crore. Naik sold the shares on 30 June 2009, L&T said in a filing to the stock exchanges.

Among construction shares, Hindustan Construction Company, IVRCL Infrastructure & Projects and Nagarjuna Construction Company, rose by between 1.12% to 3.21%. Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on 6 July 2009, provided a thrust on various infrastructure projects in the Budget which will benefit construction firms in the form of increased orders. The government announced more spending for urban, water and road projects. The allocation to National Highway development program allocation was increased 23% to Rs 15948 crore.

Cement stocks fell on profit taking after a sharp surge this week due to the Budget's thrust on the infrastructure sector. ACC, Birla Corporation of India and Grasim Industries, fell by between 0.45% to 1.29%.

Realty stocks reversed recent steep losses on bargain hunting. DLF, Unitech, Housing Development & Infrastructure, Indiabulls Real Estate, Akruti City rose by between 0.54% to 2.57%. Realty shares declined sharply this week after the Finance Minister made no major announcement to boost the debt ridden sector reeling under slump in demand for new homes in the Budget.

Some drug makers rose after the Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee reduced customs duty on life saving drugs in the Budget. Pfizer, Cipla, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, Wockhardt, Biocon, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries rose by between 0.4% to 6.42%.

Finance minister on 6 July 2009, reduced basic customs duty on influenza vaccine and nine other specified life-saving drugs used for treating breast cancer, hepatitis-B, rheumatic arthritis, etc.

The government has also reduced basic customs duty for two bulk drugs used in manufacturing these medicines from 10% to 5%. Bulk drugs are processed raw materials used in manufacturing the final doses of medicines.

Some power stocks rose on bargain hunting after a post Budget slide triggered by lack of any major sops in the Budget to the sector. Reliance Infrastructure, PowerGrid Corporation of India, Tata Power Company, rose by between 0.44% to 2.45%.

Bank stocks recovered after initial losses as inflation remained in the negative zone. India's biggest bank in terms of branch network State Bank of India (SBI) rose 0.94%. India's second largest private sector bank by net profit HDFC Bank rose 1.69% even as its American depository receipt (ADR) fell 2.75% on Wednesday, 8 July 2009. But, India's largest private sector bank by net profit ICICI Bank fell 2.77% as its ADR fell 6.67% overnight.

India's biggest dedicated housing finance firm by operating income Housing Development Finance Corporation fell 0.58%.

Bank stocks declined sharply this week after the government did not announce financial sector reforms in the Budget. Market expectations on financial sector reforms were high. The government's annual economic survey released ahead of the Budget had called for a phased increase in the foreign direct investment limit in banks. Voting rights in banks should be aligned with equity holdings, the Survey had said.

Unitech clocked the highest volume of 5.71 crore shares on BSE. Suzlon Energy (2.04 crore shares), Cals Refineries (1.57 crore shares), Mahindra Satyam (1.15 crore shares) and Ispat Industries (0.86 crore shares) were the other volume toppers in that order.

Unitech clocked the highest turnover of Rs 398.88 crore on BSE. Educomp Solutions (Rs 345.54 crore), Reliance Capital (Rs 199.49 crore), DLF (Rs 178.32 crore) and Reliance Industries (Rs 177.93 crore) were the other turnover toppers in that order.

Closing Bell 9 July 2009

The Indian markets witnessed a volatile final hour as alternate bouts of buying and selling led the indices to hover around the dotted line. However, the indices finally settled on a muted note, with the BSE-Sensex ending lower by around 11 points, while the NSE-Nifty closed higher by about 2 points. Today, buying activity was witnessed in stocks from the metal, healthcare and FMCG spaces. On the other hand, stocks from the capital goods and realty space failed to garner the markets participants’ interests. The midcaps ended higher by 0.5% while the small caps ended lower by about 0.2%. The overall decline to advance ratio stood at 1.4 to 1 on the BSE at the time of writing.

Asian markets ended the day on a mixed note today. The European indices are currently trading firm. Rupee was trading at 48.73 against the US dollar at the time of writing.

Steel stocks ended the day on a mixed note. While SAIL ended higher, JSW Steel ended on a weak note. As per a leading business daily, steel major, SAIL has cut prices of its long products primarily used in construction in the range Rs 1,500 to Rs 2,000 per tonne. As the monsoon season has started, the construction activity has slowed down. This has resulted in lower demand for the long steel products. However, the company’s management is not averse to further rate cuts if the markets situation demands so. It may be noted that prices of key raw materials like coking coal have declined as compared to levels of the earlier years. Further, the company has witnessed a fall in demand on account of 10.5% YoY decline in sales during 4QFY09. This move will help SAIL to fill some gap between demand and supply.

As per a leading business daily, Lupin, Matrix Labs and the UK subsidiary of Unichem Laboratories may face an antitrust investigation from the European Union’s antitrust regulator. The regulator believes that the delay in marketing of the generic version of hypertension drug might have led to an infringement of the antitrust law. The regulator also believes that these companies might have entered into an agreement to delay the introduction of the drug in order to avoid the competition. The European market size for the drug is expected to be around US$ 400 m. As such, the regulator is reviewing the probe as companies delay the introduction for variety of reasons. But if charges are proved, these companies may have to pay a fine of up to 10% revenues of their European operations. The stock of Matrix and Lupin ended in the red while Biocon and Cipla ended the day higher.

According to the official data released today, India’s annual rate of inflation has dropped for the fourth week in a row to negative of 1.55% for the week ended June 27. The wholesale price index (WPI) was at minus 1.3% during the previous week. The index has seen a sharp decline in the recent past on account of lower commodities and fuel prices. The negative highs reached in the last couple of weeks are mainly on the back of the high base effect as the rate of inflation was as high as 12.03% during this time last year. This week while the prices of fuel items remained unchanged, products like cast iron casting, steel ingots and other metal products along with some chemicals got cheaper. On the contrary, the prices of food items like pulses, fish, fruits, imported edible oils and vegetables kept surging raising the consumer price index. It is important not to be carried away by this low headline inflation as in reality, the recent hike in fuel prices and surging price of the important consumer goods are signaling high inflation if the high base effect is removed.

Despite some volatility, the BSE Sensex remained in the positive territory during the previous two hours of trade gaining 61 points. The NSE Nifty also traded in the green, up by 20 points. Currently, stocks from the metal, realty and oil & gas sectors are leading the pack of gainers, while select stocks from the auto, capital goods and consumer durables sectors are trading weak. The overall advance to decline ratio is poised at 0.8 to 1 on the BSE.

The BSE-Midcap and BSE-Smallcap indices are also trading firm, up by around 1.0% and 0.3% respectively. The Rupee is trading at 48.80 to the Dollar.

More trouble seems to be in store for Ranbaxy. Readers would do well to recall that the company has been in deep trouble with the US FDA for not complying with quality manufacturing standards. As a result, even those products for which Ranbaxy had managed to bag the 180-day exclusivity by settling patent suits may be launched with a considerable delay. This is all the more prominent in the case of GSK Plc’s ‘Valtrex’ which is scheduled to be launched by Ranbaxy by the end of 2009. These developments have prompted the Canadian generics firm Apotex to sue Ranbaxy whereby if the former wins the case, then Ranbaxy’s 180-day exclusivity window for ‘Valtrex’ will commence irrespective of whether the US FDA gives approval for the ANDA or not. Typically, the 180-day window commences from the date when the generic company launches the product in the US market. Thus, if Apotex wins its case against Ranbaxy it will be a big blow to the latter as the potential to earn higher revenues and profits from this drug will be impacted. However, Ranbaxy is trading in the green.

DLF, India’s largest real estate developer, has sold its stake in a 50-50 joint venture with Mumbai-based Ackruti City for developing a commercial project to a US-based real-estate fund for a sum of Rs 2 bn. The cash-strapped company exited the joint venture as a part of its asset sale programme to raise Rs 55 bn by the end of this fiscal. It must be noted that DLF has exited many big projects in the last couple of months and has already raised Rs 10 bn through asset sale.Such exits will affect the company’s strategy to expand its footprint in India. The stocks from realty sector are leading the pack of gainers on BSE today.

The Indian markets remained volatile during the previous two hours of trade on the back of alternate bouts of buying and selling activities. Currently, stocks from the metals, energy and FMCG sectors are leading the pack of gainers, while select realty and banking stocks are trading weak. The overall market breadth is negative, with losers outnumbering gainers in the ratio of 1.6 to 1 on the BSE.

While the BSE-Sensex is trading higher, up by around 10 points, the NSE-Nifty is trading flat. The BSE-Midcap index is trading higher by 3%, while the BSE-Smallcap index is trading weak, down by around 0.2%. The Rupee is trading at 48.92 to the Dollar.

As per a leading business daily, Indian software majors are likely to witness an overall hit in the revenues and margins from the export business during the June 2009 quarter. This is expected on account of lower volumes, downward pressure on billing rates and an appreciating rupee. However, the new contracts by the clients will give some cushion. Further, on account of change in the business outlook, IT firms are also likely to report more contracts. Though software industry's export business in the key geographical locations remains under pressure on account of lower volumes and volatile exchange rates, all eyes await the outlook and performance review by software major, Infosys in their June quarter earnings expected tomorrow. Software stocks are currently trading mixed.

Steel stocks are also trading mixed. While Tata Steel is marginally lower, SAIL is trading higher on the bourses currently. As per a leading business daily, Tata Steel plans to save around Rs 20 bn on account of cost cutting measures during the current fiscal in its Indian operations. This comes on the back of frugal manufacturing practices and falling prices of key raw materials mainly coking coal. The cost cutting move is as per Tata Steel's regular objective to enable efficiencyTata Steel's regular objective to enable efficiency in the manufacturing activities. As such, it had saved around Rs 8 bn during FY09 through focusing on performance improvement. The reduction amounted to US$ 47 per tonne and 20% higher than their targeted reduction. However, on a proportionate basis, the reductions were not in line with the topline and further aided by the higher raw material prices, the company's margins declined by 3.1% YoY during FY09.


The Indian markets have opened the day's proceedings on a positive note. IMF has revised the GDP growth of India upwards to 5.4% in 2009 from 4.5% projected in April this year. In 2010, the Indian economy is expected to grow at a much faster rate of 6.5%. While banking, pharma, auto and power stocks are trading firm, selling is being witnessed in engineering and software stocks. The overall advance to decline ratio is at 1.2:1 on the NSE. As regards global markets, the US markets ended flat yesterday as buying was witnessed at lower levels. The European markets ended lower, while the Asian markets are also trading down.

The BSE Sensex is trading higher by around 60 points. The NSE Nifty is up 20 points. The BSE Midcap and the BSE Smallcap indices are trading flat currently. The rupee is trading at 49.00 to the dollar.

FMCG stocks are trading firm. As per a Ficci-Technopak report, the FMCG sector is expected to touch US$ 47 bn by 2013 and US$ 95 bn by 2018 due to the implementation of the proposed Goods and Services Tax (GST) and opening of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The report suggests that the government needs to rapidly implement GST to replace the multiple indirect taxes currently levied on FMCG products. This would have several benefits, including uniform, simplified and single-point taxation and reduced prices.

Further, in order to reduce counterfeits, the enforcement of the Trade Mark and Copyright Laws is also needed. Counterfeit products account for almost 5% of the industry and poses serious challenges to its growth. FMCG companies had been demanding simplified tax structure since quite some time. The process for the smooth introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) will come in effect from 1st April, 2010. Also, higher rural focus, lower penetration and rising consumerism would continue to aid the sector's growth.

As per a leading business daily, on account of rising delinquencies, the Indian banks have asked the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to relax provisioning norms for home loans and other assets. RBI norms stipulate that if a borrower defaults on any loan facility, all other facilities taken by this borrower should be treated as bad loans. Once a loan is classified as a bad account, the bank has to set aside 10% of the outstanding loan as a provision. This not only affects the net profits of the bank but also leads to higher NPA ratio. And the current economic slowdown has worsened the situation further. This will also impact the credit growth as money available for disbursement as capital is blocked. Growth in loans of Indian banks has slowed from around 27% in November to about 15% in June this year. Banking stocks are trading mixed.

S&P worried over India's rising deficit
The Finance Minister's 'no comments' in the recent budget on how he will be lowering India's fiscal deficit in the years to come has made rating agency S&P quite concerned over the country's outlook. As a matter of fact, as the FM disclosed during his budget speech, India's fiscal deficit (excess of government expenditure over its income) is likely to touch a level 6.8% of GDP by the end of FY10. Moreover, on including off-budget items such as fertiliser and oil bonds, the deficit figure will stand at about 12% of GDP.

"We continue to believe that such high levels of government deficits are unsustainable in the medium term, although we weren't surprised by the number itself," said S&P in a statement.

Currently, the agency has given a rating of BBB- which is one step away from the 'junk' status. Any downward revision on this rating could lower India's appeal with foreign investors (which we are anyways not complaining much about!). However, S&P has added that it expects its India outlook to stabilise at the current levels provided the country manages to reduce its deficit burden in the medium term. This is also keeping in mind that a faster than expected economic recovery would help India to achieve faster fiscal consolidation through higher revenue growth.

Auto numbers - India good, China fabulous
India's 14% YoY growth in total auto sales for the month of June 2009 paints a rosy picture when compared to the ailing auto markets of developed nations. As per the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), the growth in vehicle sales has been on the back of new model launches, and cheaper and easier financing options. Passenger vehicle sales stood at 140,000 units during the said month, recording a growth of 8% YoY. On the other hand, two-wheeler sales stood at almost 707,000 units and witnessed a growth of 17% YoY.

While these numbers can be considered good, wait till you read the growth rates China is clocking in its auto industry. As per Bloomberg, China's passenger vehicle sales stood at almost 873,000 units in June, a whopping growth of 48% YoY. Total auto numbers for the month stood at 1.1 m units. This is believed to be the biggest jump in auto numbers in over three years. Reasons such as tax cuts and government subsidies have been attributed for the same. It may be noted that China is now the world's biggest auto market (a feat it achieved during the first half of 2009), surpassing the US's 63-year reign.

Indian Shares / Stock Markets Voices 9 July 2009

Indian Shares / Stock Markets Voices 9 July 2009

With investors treading a cautious path ahead of key results from India Inc and on mixed global cues, the market ended a highly choppy session on a flat note today.

There were a few of bright spells during the day but all of them proved quite short-lived as investors chose to lighten commitments at higher levels.

The Sensex ended the day at 13,765.65 (provisional) with a small loss of 3.50 points.

It touched a high of 13,879.18 and a low of 13,643.97 today.

The Nifty closed at 4083.50, up 4.60 points or 0.11%. The Nifty hit a high of 4114.90 and a low of 4039.85.

Metal, pharma and FMCG stocks had a fairly bright outing. Oil and realty stocks found some support. Auto, power, bank and IT stocks remained quite subdued. Capital goods stocks struggled today. Not much buying was seen in midcap and smallcap segments.

Sun Pharma, Reliance Infra, Sterlite, ITC, TCS, Tata Power, HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, JP Associates, Hero Honda, Wipro and RIL moved up.
Tata Motors, ICICI Bank, M&M, DLF, Infosys, L&T, Hindalco, HUL, BHEL and ONGC declined sharply.

HCL Tech, Jindal Steel, SAIL, GAIL India, Ambuja Cements, Cipla, Cairn, Unitech, Ranbaxy and BPCL gained significant ground today. Axis Bank, Siemens and Suzlon Energy ended lower.

The market breadth was weak right through the day.

Some short-covering is likely in the market over the next few sessions.
If results and guidance from Infosys Technologies are in line with market expectations, then one can see a fairly good upmove. However, if global cues are negative, the market may find it difficult to sustain at higher levels.

Cement and infrastructure stocks can give good returns over a medium term. Sharp declines can be used to accumulate quality stocks from these two sectors. Ambuja Cements, Ultratech, ACC, India Cements and Madras Cements can be picked up at 15 - 20% down from their current levels.

The market has edged up now following a positive start on the European bourses. Higher U.S. index futures have also aided sentiment to an extent. With key results to hit the market over the next few sessions, the mood is likely to remain highly cautious in the very short run.
Some encouraging report cards could bring the bulls back in full strength and trigger a few sharp rallies.

IVRCL Infra (Rs 328) has a target of Rs 370 -375 and strength there can take the stock to Rs 395 or even higher. For now, short term traders can hold the stock with a stop loss near Rs 270.

Since the market is likely to move sideways for the next couple of months, if not longer, one can book profits or lighten commitments at sharp rallies. Sharp dips can be treated as buying opportunities for short term.

Bharat Forge (Rs 136) can move up sharply if it recovers to Rs 155 and trades firm for a few sessions. A rise to Rs 190 -195 is possible. On the downside, the stock has support near Rs 120 and a pronounced weakness there could result in a fall to Rs 90.

Bharti Airtel (Rs 801) is likely to face resistance at Rs 850 - 860 levels. A strong breakout there can lift the stock close to Rs 1000.
One with a medium term view can stay invested with a stop loss near Rs 710.

Institutional investors appear to be waiting for the market to correct further. One can expect a reasonably strong participation from domestic funds and FIIs if the market sheds some more weight.

The rise from the dismal lows recorded in early March this year was too sharp and rapid. Several stocks rallied without valid reasons. A correction from current levels is certainly healthy.

Investors willing to wait patiently for good returns can try steel stock Tata Steel, SAIL, JSW Steel and Jindal Steel at declines.
Though these stocks are likely to remain highly slippery in the near run, one can certainly look forward to strong returns from investments in these stocks over a long term.

With the possibility of interest rates declining further looking rather dim, the next few quarters are going to be very tough for several players in the realty sector.

For any significant rise in demand to happen, the economy has to show definite signs of recovery. Till then, one would do well to avoid building up big positions in reatly stocks.

India Cements (Rs 142) can be retained for medium term. The stock is likely to rise sharply, and a move to Rs 165 - 170 looks possible. One can hold the stock with a stop loss near Rs 110.

The Nifty (4045) will have to decisively move past 4095 to make a significant move into the positive territory today. On the downside, the index could slide to 4010 or further down if it remains weak around its current levels for some more time.

Paramount Communications has announced its entry into the vibrant domestic wires market with a range of cables that offer an environmentally friendly Lead Free, Zero Halogen, Low Smoke option.

The domestic cables from the Company will initially be launched in the Delhi and NCR region and would be available in all key North Indian markets within three months. The stock is trading at Rs 9.75 at present. One holding the stock can exit the counter at sharp rallies.

PSU oil stocks HPCL, BPCL and IOC have rallied sharply this morning on falling crude oil prices. The recent hike in fuel prices is also aiding the cause of these stocks. It looks these stocks have further upside in the near run. Short term traders can exit at sharp rallies and re-enter at declines.

MIC Electronics has signed an MOU with Indian Oil Corporation for marketing of Solar LED Lantern. The MIC Electronics stock is trading 2.5% up at Rs 33.65. One holding the stock can retain it for decent gains over a medium to long term. Small quantities can be added at declines.

Moser Baer has posted a net loss of Rs 1508.80 million for the year ended March 31, 2009 as compared to net loss of Rs 789.10million for the year ended March 31, 2008.

The company's total income increased from Rs 20017.30 million for the year ended March 31, 2008 to Rs 23249.10 million for the year ended March 31, 2009. The stock is currenly trading in the red at Rs 71 with a loss of 3.2%.

The market has opened on a slightly listless note amid mixed global cues this morning. The Sensex rose to 13,830 after opening marginally higher but has slipped to 13,729 now, netting a loss of around 40 points or 0.29%. The Nifty is down by 7.75 points or 0.19% at 4071.55. It had surged to 4089.90 in opening trade.

Stocks to watch

IOL Netcom Ltd after its board approved raising up to Rs 250 crore.

Amtek group firms Amtek Auto Ltd, Amtek India and Ahmednagar Forgings after their respective boards approved raising funds by issuing warrants to founders.

Brokerage Recommendations 9th July 2009

Brokerage Recommendations 9th July 2009

Buy Finolex Industries with a target of Rs 75 in 18 months, says Rajen Shah of Angel Broking, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 42, up 2.88% on the BSE.

Sell L&T with a target of Rs 1260 and stop loss of Rs 1500, says Anuj Dixit, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 1388, down 1.78% on the BSE.

Buy VST Tillers with a target of Rs 450 in 18 months, says Rajen Shah of Angel Broking, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 286, up 3% on the BSE.

The market is seeing a short covering rally that could take it to Nifty 4175-4200 levels, says Bharat Dalal of Dawney Day on NDTV Profit. But the maximum Nifty can go to 4250 after which it will drift downwards, he feels. In the downtrend, Nifty could break 4000 and then head to 3850, he adds.

It was a choppy day of trade as the market closed flat. Sensex closed at 13765, down 3 points (provisional) and Nifty at 4080, up 2 points (provisional) from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 0.95% and BSE Smallcap index was down 0.19%. The market breadth was negative with advances at 516 against declines of 698 on the NSE.

Buy Nifty call 4100 with a target of 200 and stop loss of 100, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz, as closing market strategy. Buy Sterlite Industries with a target of Rs 600 and stop loss of Rs 532, he adds.

Buy Nifty above 4100 with target of 4200 and stop loss of 4080, says Prakash Gaba, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz, as closing market strategy.

In F&O call, sell Nifty July futures with a target of 3900 and stop loss of 4250, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The trend continues to be down, he adds.

In F&O call, buy Nifty July futures with a target of 4160 and stop loss of 4030, says Neera Jain of crnindia.com, on CNBC Awaaz. This call is only till tomorrow morning 10.30am as the market is likely to see a relief rally in the short term, she says.

In F&O call, buy Nifty July futures with a target of 4225 and stop loss of 4030, says Akshata Deshmukh, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The market likely to see a short covering rally for the next 2-3 sessions, she says.

The market is seeing a short covering rally today after yesterday's big fall, says Vijay Bhambvani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Unless Nifty trades above 4150 decisively, there is no real recovery, he feels.

The market continues to trade flat and has shed most of its gains. Sensex is trading at 13779, up 10 points and Nifty is at 4087, up 8 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index is up 1.06% and BSE Smallcap index is up 0.15%. The market breadth is negative with advances at 557 against declines of 649 on the NSE.

Buy Sesa Goa July futures with a target of Rs 220 and stop loss of Rs 180, says Neera Jain of crnindia.com, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 192, up 2.17% on the BSE.

Hold Century Textiles with a target of Rs 410-420 where one can exit, says Jatindar Sharma, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 404, up 2.02% on the BSE.

Sell BHEL with a target of Rs 1772 and stop loss of Rs 2280, says Anuj Dixit, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 2017, down 1.45% on the BSE.

Buy Voltas with a target of Rs 145, says Prakash Gaba, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 121, down 1.3% on the BSE.

Sell JP Associates with a target of Rs 174 and stop loss of Rs 212, says Anuj Dixit, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 201, up 3.4% on the BSE.

Buy Prism Cements with a target of Rs 50-52 and stop loss of Rs 38, says Prakash Gaba, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 41, up 2.1% on the BSE. » Send to friends

2:17 PM - Sell Cairn India with a target of Rs 180 and stop loss of Rs 226, says Anuj Dixit, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 207, up 0.90% on the BSE.

The market is trading almost flat. Sensex is trading at 14350, up 81 points and Nifty is at 4106, up 27 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index is up 0.99% and BSE Smallcap index is up 0.25%. The market breadth is negative with advances at 592 against declines of 604 on the NSE.

Buy IVRCL Infrastructure with a target of Rs 370 and stop loss of Rs 324, says Prakash Gaba, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 328, up 0.91% on the BSE.

Buy CESC with a target of Rs 288 and stop loss of Rs 260, says Rahul Mohindar, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 270, up 0.02% on the BSE.

Buy Satyam with target of Rs 100, says Bhavin Shah of JP Morgan on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 73, up 3.69% on the BSE.

buy Tata Motors with a target of Rs 298-310 and stop loss of Rs 270, says Rahul Mohindar, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 271, down 3.5% on the BSE.

The trend is now down and the market is likely to head lower, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Traders can go short on rallies, he adds.

The market is likely to correct further and Nifty may retest 3500-3600 levels, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Market is likely to give maximum pain before it will turn around and go higher, he adds.

The Asian markets are trading mixed while European markets have opened in the positive. Good global cues see our market trade in the positive. Sensex is trading at 14389, up 70 points and Nifty is at 4104, up 21 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index is up 0.91% and BSE Smallcap index is up 0.29%. The market breadth is negative with advances at 561 against declines of 615 on the NSE.

Buy IVRCL Infra, GMR Infra and Punj Lloyd on dips with long-term view, says Sudarshan Sukhani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18.

Hold IndusInd Bank with target of Rs 95, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on NDTV Profit. Keep stop loss of Rs 70, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 82.40, down 1% on the BSE.

Hold Chambal Fertilisers with target of Rs 62, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. It has support at Rs 51, he adds. But if the Nifty goes down to 3600 then this stock could fall to Rs 43, he says. The stock is currently trading at Rs 55.90, up 1.5% on the BSE.

Buy RIL at Rs 2000 and GAIL at current levels with long-term view, says Sharmila Joshi of Systematix Shares on CNBC Awaaz.

Buy TCS with target of Rs 550, says Bhavin Shah of JP Morgan on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 385.20, up 1.4% on the BSE.

The sentiment has turned negative as the budget did not meet expectations, says Vibhav Kapoor of IL&FS on CNBC TV18. The global situation remains poor and I expect the global markets to fall further, he adds. He believes that the Nifty is likely to break below 4000 and could go down to 3500-3600 levels.

Hold Unitech with target of Rs 73-74, says Rajesh Jain of SMC Global Securities on CNBC Awaaz. It has support at Rs 60-62, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 66.50, down 2.3% on the BSE.

Hold WWIL with target of Rs 21, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 14, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 16.65 on the BSE.

Hold Educomp Solutions with target of Rs 3850, says Nitin Murarka of SMC Global on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 3550, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 3832, up 10.7% on the BSE.

Hold SAIL with target of Rs 175, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep trailing stop loss of Rs 120, he adds. Buy again when it comes to Rs 100-110, he says. The stock is currently trading at Rs 151.85, up 3.2% on the BSE.

WPI for all commodities is up 0.04% at 234.7(WoW), reports NDTV Profit. Primary Articles Index is up 0.3% and Manufactured Products Index down 0.1%(WoW), it adds.

The inflation figure for the week ended June 27 has been announced at -1.55% versus the earlier figure of -1.30% for week ended June 20, reports NDTV Profit.

Hold Spice Communications with target of Rs 65-70, says Nitin Murarka of SMC Global on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 54, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 57.10 on the BSE.

Buy ICICI Bank, SBI and Axis Bank on dips and hold with strict stop loss, says Rahul Mohinder, technical analyst, on CNBC Awaaz.

Hold IndusInd Bank with target of Rs 94, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It has support at Rs 72, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 81.85, down 1.7% on the BSE.

Hold India Cements with target of Rs 155, says MB Singh, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of Rs 127, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 143.25, up 2.3% on the BSE.

Hold ACC with target of Rs 820, says Ashwani Gujral, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 790, up 1.1% on the BSE.

Buy C&C Constructions for 50-100% gains in 1-2 years, says Ashish Chugh, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 162.30, up 5.4% on the BSE.

Exit IFCI because it could go down to Rs 30, says MB Singh, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. The stock is currently trading at Rs 43.85, on the BSE.

Buy Unitech only on dips with target of Rs 125 in one year, says Mehraboon Irani of Centrum Broking on CNBC Awaaz. The stock is currently trading at Rs 64.60, down 5.1% on the BSE.

Wait for a bounce-back to take short positions in the Nifty July Futures, says Deepak Mohoni, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of 4130, he adds.

Exit Videocon Industries on any rally, says MB Singh, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. It could go down to Rs 125 and then 115, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 157.65, up 0.3% on the BSE.

Buy NMDC with intra-day target of Rs 345, says Anil Singhvi, market expert, on CNBC Awaaz. Keep stop loss of Rs 330, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 338.90, up 2.1% on the BSE.

Buy BPCL Futures above Rs 465 with target of Rs 474-476, says Vijay Bhambwani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of Rs 461, he adds. The stock is currently trading at Rs 468.30, up 1% on the BSE.
Sell MRPL at Rs 71 with target of Rs 69, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 73, she adds. The stock is at Rs 71.45, down 8.2% on the BSE.

Hold short positions in the Nifty with target of 4000-4020, says Vijay Bhambwani, technical analyst, on CNBC TV18. Keep stop loss of 4150, he adds.

Sell ABB at Rs 713 with target of Rs 695, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 722, she adds. The stock is at Rs 713.05, down 5.3% on the BSE.

Sell HDIL at Rs 201 with target of Rs 192, says Simi Bhaumik, technical analyst, on Zee Business. Keep stop loss of Rs 207, she adds. The stock is at Rs 200.75, down 6.8% on the BSE.

Indian Share / Stock Markets Report 8 July 2009

Market Report 8 July 2009

The key benchmark indices slumped in late trade after the global rating agency Standard & Poor's today, 8 July 2009, said there is risk that its sovereign credit ratings on India may be lowered. Weak global stocks also dampened investor sentiment Banking, capital goods and realty stocks led the fall. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries dropped in volatile trade. The market breadth was weak.

Intraday volatility was high. The market tumbled soon after a weak opening triggered by lower Asian stocks and overnight setback in US stocks. The market cut losses in mid-morning trade on media reports that the government will have a disinvestment road map in place in about three months to bridge the high fiscal deficit. Intraday recovery gathered further steam in afternoon trade after Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said the government's 2009/10 budget was pro-growth and addressed the stimulus needs of the economy. But the recovery proved short-lived. The market slumped in late trade.

Global rating agency Standard & Poor's Ratings Services today said it maintains its view that India's high fiscal deficits are not sustainable in the medium term and if fiscal consolidation is delayed, there is a risk that the sovereign credit ratings on India may be lowered. S&P ranks India's long-term local-currency rating at BBB-, their lowest investment grade.

Finance Minister (FM) Pranab Mukherjee set a sharply higher fiscal deficit target to 6.8% for the financial year ending March 2010 after he increased spending on roads, power and aid to the poor. Mukherjee said on Tuesday government spending has to fill a gap left by lower private investment, a day after he sharply raised government spending on some social sector programme and infrastructure in the Union Budget 2009-2010 on Monday, 6 July 2009. Higher government spending on infrastructure sector and rural economy may help facilitate recovery in the economy.

Trade minister Anand Sharma today said steps already taken by the government will help revive industrial output. He said cement and steel output rose 13% each in June 2009 over June 2008. Sharma also said output of gems and jewellery sector was still a concern.

Meanwhile, steel minister Virbhadra Singh said Indian steel consumption could rise 6 to 8 % in 2009/10.

Indian government is reportedly planning to sell about 10-20% stake in listed blue chip companies. Among those likely to be targeted are ONGC, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), NTPC, Bharat Heavy Electrical (Bhel) and Steel Authority of India (Sail). Considering that these companies are profitable, selling stakes at the opportune time could fetch the government a neat revenue that could help bridge the fiscal deficit.

The government set an very small target of Rs 1120 crore from divestment for the financial year ending March 2010 in the Union Budget 2009-2010 which it unveiled on Monday, 6 July 2009.

Foreign funds pressed sales of Indian stocks after the Budget. As per the provisional figures, foreign funds sold shares worth Rs 921.39 crore on Tuesday, 7 July 2009. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 351.40 crore on Monday, 6 July 2009, the day when the Finance Minister presented the Budget.

European shares fell on Wednesday, mirroring big losses on Wall Street on Tuesday and losing ground for the fifth straight session, as investors braced for the start of the corporate earnings season. Key benchmark indices in France and Germany were down by between 0.09% to 0.42%. But USK's FTSE 100 was up 0.11%.

Though still in the red, Asian stocks were off early lows. Key benchmark indices in China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan were down by between 0.28% to 0.79%.

Japan's Nikkei fell 2.35% after the latest data showed Japanese core machinery orders fell 3% from a month earlier in May 2009.

US index futures was volatile. Trading in the US index futures indicated Dow could fall 5 points at the opening bell today, 8 July 2009.

US markets closed deep in the red yesterday, 7 July 2009 as stocks fell to their lowest level in 10 weeks amid growing doubts about an economic recovery. The Dow slipped 161.27 points, or 1.9%, to 8,163.60. The S&P 500 index fell 17.69 points, or 2%, to 881.03. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 41.23 points, or 2.3%, to 1,746.17.

As per the provisional figures, the BSE 30-share Sensex was down 417.62 points or 2.95% to 13,752.83. At the day's low of 13,701.76, Sensex fell 468.70 points in morning trade. The Sensex fell 130.87 points at the day's high of 14,039.58 in early trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty was down 127.05 points or 3.02% to 4,075.10 as per the provisional figures. BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 5,384 crore slightly higher than Rs 5,3304.88 crore on Tuesday, 7 July 2009.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was extremely weak. On BSE, 539 shares rose as compared with 1,971 that fell. A total of 57 shares remained unchanged.

From the 30 shares Sensex pack, 24 fell and one rose.

The BSE Mid-Cap index was down 3.69% and the BSE Small-Cap index was down 3.81%.

India's largest private sector firm by market capitalisation Reliance Industries (RIL) shed 1.38% to Rs 1,829.80. The stock was volatile. It hit a high of Rs 1,890.10 and a low of Rs 1,800. The Supreme Court on Tuesday declined to stay the Bombay High Court's verdict in a dispute over the sale of natural gas by Reliance Industries (RIL) to Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL).

The Supreme Court didn't grant RIL' plea to stay the order of the Bombay High Court until the resolution of the case and issued notices to the companies and the Centre. Both companies have to reply to appeals filed by each other by 20 July 2009, when the matter is scheduled to be heard. The government must also respond by then, the court said.

RIL, late last week, moved the Supreme court, challenging the Bombay High Court judgment asking it to supply gas to the former at a price that is 44% lower than fixed by the government. In its appeal filed in the Supreme Court on Saturday 4 July 2009, Reliance Industries contended that the high court had erred in deciding the three terms - quantity, tenure and price of gas supply to power plants of Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) affiliates.

Meanwhile, RIL's tax liability would rise after Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee increased the rate of minimum alternate tax (MAT) to 15% from 10% of book profit. RIL pays taxes under MAT. RIL's total tax liability stood at Rs 3028 crore in the year ended March 2009 (FY 2009), which included deferred taxes of Rs 900 crore and fringe benefit tax of Rs 54 crore. While higher MAT may result in increase in tax outgo, the scrapping of the fringe benefit tax (FBT) may help mitigate the impact to some extent. The government has scrapped FBT in the Union Budget 2009-2010.

Oil stocks fell as crude oil hit six-week low on Tuesday on speculation that a US government report will show an increase in weekly US crude inventories as the recession cut demand. India's largest state-run oil exploration firm by revenue ONGC fell 4.57%. Cairn India fell 6.48%. The fall in crude oil prices would result in lower realizations from crude sales for oil exploration firms. Crude oil for August delivery fell $1.12, or 1.7%, to $62.93 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Tuesday, the lowest settlement since 26 May 2009.

Realty stocks extended last two day's losses as finance minister made no major announcement to boost the debt ridden sector reeling under slump in demand for new homes in the Budget. DLF, Omaxe, Unitech, Indiabulls Real Estate, Housing Development & Infrastructure, Akruti City fell by between 8.29% to 11.73%.

Capital goods stocks fell even as the Budget laid a major emphasis on infrastructure development. Siemens, Praj Industries, Siemens, ABB, Larsen & Toubro, Bharat Heavy Electricals fell by between 3.13% to 7.17%. Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on 6 July 2009, provided a thrust on various infrastructure projects in the Budget which will benefit construction firms in the form of increased orders. The government announced more spending for urban, water and road projects. The allocation to National Highway development program allocation was increased 23% to Rs 15948 crore.

To ensure that infrastructure projects do not face financing difficulties arising from the current downturn, the government has decided that India Infrastructure Finance Company (IIFCL) will refinance 60% of commercial bank loans for Public Private Partnership (PPP) projects in critical sectors over the next fifteen to eighteen months.

Bank stocks fell as government did not announce financial sector reforms in the Budget. Market expectations on financial sector reforms were high. The government's annual economic survey released ahead of the Budget had called for a phased increase in the foreign direct investment limit in banks. Voting rights in banks should be aligned with equity holdings, the Survey had said.

India's biggest bank in terms of branch network State Bank of India (SBI) fell 2.22%. India's largest private sector bank by net profit ICICI Bank fell 5.85%. Its American depository receipt (ADR) fell 0.21% on Tuesday, 7 July 2009. India's second largest private sector bank by net profit HDFC Bank fell 4.27% as its ADR fell 1.08% overnight.

But IndusInd Bank jumped 7.72% after net profit galloped 352.88% to Rs 86.5 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008.

India's biggest dedicated housing finance firm by operating income Housing Development Finance Corporation fell 2.6% as the finance minister did not announce a hike in tax sops for housing loans in the Budget contrary to market expectations.

Godrej Consumer Products fell 4.04% to Rs 162.80 after a block deal of 3.44 lakh shares was executed on NSE at Rs 164.50 per share.