Showing posts with label Federal Bank. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Federal Bank. Show all posts

Sunday, February 12, 2012

Banking Sector - Book Profits


Overseas investors seem to be on a selling spree when it comes to the Indian banking stocks, as they have pared their holdings in at least 28 public and private sector banks of the country in the past few months.
Various foreign investors have together sold banking stocks worth an estimated Rs 10,000 crore (over USD 2 billion) in about four-and-a-half months since October 2011.

While foreign investors have sold shares of at least 28 Indian banks, they have purchased fresh shares of only nine banking stocks during this period. The value of fresh banking shares purchased during this period is also much less at just about Rs 600 crore, as per an analysis of shareholding pattern and open-market transaction data available with stock exchanges.

The banks where foreign investors have pared their holdings include private players like ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank and DCB, as also public sector giants like SBI and Punjab National Bank. Those having seen an increase in the holding of overseas investors include HDFC Bank, South Indian Bank and IDBI Bank.

In one of the biggest share-sale transaction in the banking sector during this period, a unit of Singapore government's investment arm Temasek Holdings sold shares worth about Rs 1,500 crore in ICICI Bank on
Market analysts said the shares could have been sold to book profit after a sharp rally of about one-third in ICICI Bank shares since the beginning of 2012.

Indian banking and financial sector stocks have witnessed many share transactions in the recent past, given a sharp surge in their value since the beginning of 2012.   While US-based Carlyle group sold shares worth about Rs 1,350 crore in HDFC on February 1, Warburg Pincus sold shares accounting for about 2.4 per cent stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank for about Rs 800 crore on the same day.

Besides, the shareholding pattern data for the October- December 2011 quarter shows that FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) lowered their holding in 26 banks.  These included ICICI Bank, SBI, Axis Bank, DCB, Yes Bank, Allahabad Bank, Indian Bank, Corporation Bank, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, Dhanlaxmi Bank, Karnataka Bank, among others.

In fact, the banking sector witnessed the highest level of share sale by FIIs during that quarter. Also, a few like PNB, SBI, Syndicate Bank, Allahabad Bank and Central Bank have seen their FII holdings declining for four consecutive quarters now.  On the other hand, the FII holding increased during the last quarter of calendar year 2011 in banks like South Indian Bank, Bank of India, City Union Bank, IDBI Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Federal Bank, Andhra Bank, HDFC Bank and ING Vysya Bank.

Our Recommendation :
With  most of the banking shares clocking decent gains of 30-50% gains, it is time to book profits and stay away from the sector as it faces stiff resistance at higher levels.  Long term investors can however utilize steep falls to add banking scrips to their portfolio.



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Sunday, January 9, 2011

Federal Bank - Buy

CMP (Rs): 374

52-week high (Rs)*: 501.0

Market cap (Rs crore): 6,770.5

% change from 52- week high *: -20.95

* Adjusted for corporate actions, split/Bonus. Current market price & market cap as on 23 Dec. Data Source: CMIE Prowess

FB is currently undertaking a restructuring exercise and has hired a dynamic new chairman and managing director. It is revamping internal processes to enhance productivity and maintain high credit standards. Post-crisis period, the bank has lagged in credit growth while asset quality has declined.

However, it is very high on capital adequacy due to a well-timed rights issue and has scope to grow its loan book without stress. And it is doing precisely this, as India revs up.

My rough take indicates, a strong credit growth at 24% over the next year, which will help push up its return on equities (a core monitorable for any bank) back into the mid-teens, even as asset quality stabilises. At a little over 1.1 times estimated FY12 book value, there is nothing to lose here.


Source ET

Our Recommendation:

After a recent spike to Rs.498 it is now correcting. Wait for declines to 350 levels and buy. The stock has a potential to go to Rs.500 levels where one can exit.

Bought to you by

Ingenious Investor

Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting

Pattamal Plaza

3rd Cross Kamanahalli

BANGALORE 560084

For Free Stock Advise + Ideas

sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com

Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com

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Saturday, December 11, 2010

Top 10 Buys for Dec 13-16, 2010 BSE / NSE Tips

Derivative Analysis

Buy the following and hold for the next week 13-16 Dec for a 8-10% jump

Federal Bank Ltd

2 GAIL India Ltd

3 ACC Ltd

4 Rural Electrification Corp Ltd

5 Bhushan Steel Ltd

6 Kingfisher Airlines Ltd

7 DLF Ltd

8 Rolta India Ltd

9 Wipro Ltd

10 JSW Steel Ltd

Bought to you by

Ingenious Investor
Equity Research Division

Ravina Consulting
Pattamal Plaza
3rd Cross Kamanahalli
BANGALORE 560084

For Free Stock Advise + Ideas
sowmya@ravinaconsulting.com
Talk / SMS 08105737966

Read - www.ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com