Showing posts with label @SmartInvestor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label @SmartInvestor. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Nucleus Software - Buy on dips


 

The income from software products and services came in at Rs 169 cr for Q3 FY23, growing 30%


The company recorded a 24% sequential growth in consolidated profit at Rs 38 cr for the quarter, driven by strong operating performance as well as a healthy topline.


On the operating front, Nucleus registered EBITDA at Rs 47 cr for Q3 FY23 up 318% Vs PQ. The OPM expanded sharply by 1,947 bps sequentially to 28 percent for the quarter.

Returns

One year - up by 28%

6 months - up by 37%

1 month - up by 42%

1 week - down by 2%

Scrip lost 9.8% on 11 March after spectacular rally. The scrip has been spurting with good volumes indicating interest from institutions. Any declines  to 500 levels can be a good buying opportunity.


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Thursday, March 23, 2023

Karnataka Bank - Buy on declines.


Recorded a net profit of ₹300 cr in Q3 FY23 as against ₹146 cr reported in the year-ago period, registering a growth of 105%

The operating profit went up 49% and NII went up 34%

NPA came down to 3.28 per cent 4.11% and net NPA was at 1.66% Vs 2.45%

The provision coverage ratio  at 80%. 

Provisions stood at ₹164 cr Vs ₹138 cr

Advances growth of the bank is healthy at 12%
capital adequacy ratio was at 15%

Returns

One year - up by 157%
6 months - up by 37%
1 month - up by 42%
1 week - down by 2%
has notched 106% higher Q3EPS of Rs.9.7 and 119% higher 9M EPS of Rs.26.5, which may lead to FY23 EPS of Rs.37+ Vs 15.5 in FY22

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Sterling Wilson - Buy on dips

 The company has emerged as the successful bidder for the BOS package comprising of four blocks of 300 MW (AC) each in the proposed 1200 MW Solar PV Project of NTPC Renewable Energy Limited at Khavda RE Power Park, Rann of Kutch, Gujarat







As per Trendlyne data, the average target price estimate for the stock is Rs 454, which shows an upside potential of 44% from the current market prices. The consensus recommendation from one analyst for the stock is a strong buy.

Having a presence in 28 countries, company provides EPC services for utility-scale solar, floating solar and hybrid and energy storage solutions. Within a short span, it created a strong presence in regions such as the Middle East, Africa, Europe, the Americas, and Australia.

Investors should buy around 300 levels and hold for a long term target of 400 for a holding period of 15-18 months.

CMP 316 - Date 23 March 2023

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Monday, March 6, 2023

Himatsingka - Turnaround stock Buy

 Net Sales at Rs 548.19 crore in December 2022 down 24.16% from Rs. 722.87 crore in December 2021.

Quarterly Net Profit at Rs. 1.35 crore in December 2022 down 95.66% from Rs. 31.12 crore in December 2021.


EBITDA stands at Rs. 92.74 crore in December 2022 down 19.96% from Rs. 115.87 crore in December 2021.


Equity Returns

1 week up 8.52%

1 month up 12.32%

6 months down 23.73%

1 year down 47.17%

Textile stocks are underperforming. Stock appeared to have bottomed out around 70 levels. Wait for correction and buy on dips for long term investment.




Astro Microwave - Buy

Company has reported Net Sales at Rs 218.87 cr up 9.95% from Rs. 199.06 crore in December 2021.
Quarterly Net Profit at Rs.30.27 cr up 149.63% from Rs.12.13 cr PY
EBITDA stands at Rs.54.53 cr up 98% from Rs. 27.54 cr 0LY
Astra Microwave EPS has increased to Rs. 3.50 from Rs.1.40 in December 2021.

..

One year - up by 27%
6 months - down by 4%
1 month down by 7%
The company has a good products for Defense, Space, Meteorology, Homeland Security and a wide range of Radars.
Buy on declines and hold long term



Kalyan Jewellers - BUY


 #smartinvestor,

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#kalyanjewellers


--


The company recorded revenue of Rs 3,884 cr for Q3FY23 as against Rs 3,435 cr previous year, a growth of 13%.

EBITDA was recorded at Rs 327 cr compared to Rs 299 crore PY

PAT was at Rs 148 cr as against 135 cr LY

Over the past 4 quarters, the Company has achieved revenue in excess of Rs 13,500 crore and a PAT of 434 crore.


Returns


One year - up by 74%

6 months - up by 57%

1 month down by 9%


The company has been consistently growing up and is technically bullish. Investors can buy around 105 levels for a TP of 150 in next 1 year.


Company plans to open 52 showrooms during the calendar year 2023 which is a big positive.

Buy ITC Limited for super gains


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Q3 FY 23 Results and outlook


Company declared an aggregate equity dividend of Rs 11.5 per share during last one year.


ITC posted a NP of Rs 5,031 cr in the December quarter, up 21% YoY, and a marginally 2.3% higher revenue from operations of Rs 16,226 crore. 

EBITDA surged 25% YoY to Rs 5,183.5 crore, OPM jumped by a whopping 574 bps in Q3 FY23 to 31.95% due to price hikes and an improved mix.


Returns


ITC shares are quite bullish and trading positive -

gone up by by whopping 70% on yearly basis,

gone up by  22% in the last 6 months and

gone up by 15% in the last 1 month


Currently trading year high and is technically bullish trading 50, 100, and 200 DMA


Any declines in the price will present a golden opportunity to add the blue chip share to your portfolio.



 

Tejas Network - Buy

 


Company reported a net loss of Rs 10 cr in Q3 FY23 as against a net loss of Rs 24 cr posted in Q3 FY22.


Revenue from operations zoomed 156.4% to Rs 274 cr Vs  Rs 107 cr recorded in the same period a year ago.

The company reported a pre-tax loss of Rs 5 cr  as compared to a pre-tax loss of Rs 32.91 crore reported PY

Total expenses up 92.27% year on year to Rs 300 cr in Q3 FY23. Cost of materials consumed was at Rs 160 cr (up 155.31% YoY) and employee expenses stood at Rs 68.66 crore (up 118.94% YoY) 

Tejas Network shares - gone up by 35% on yearly basis, gone up by   23% in the last 6 months and in the last 1 month went up by 5%

Company is expected to well as the outlook for the products is robust order book of Rs.1,431 crores for optical and fibre products.

Any declines in the price will present a golden opportunity to add the blue chip share to your portfolio.

Equitas Bank - buy on dips





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Equitas SFB Q3 FY 23 results

NP surged 57.4% to Rs 170.13 crore on 17.5% rise in total income to Rs 1,216 crore in Q3 FY23.

PrBT climbed 56.7% year on year to Rs 229 cr in the quarter ended 31 Dec 2022.

Net Interest Income grew 20% to Rs 647 cr Vs Rs 541 crore PY

Pre Provisioning Operating Profit (PPoP) was at Rs 279 crore in Q3 FY23, rising 24% from Rs 225 cr

NPA was at Rs 861 cr against Rs 863.82 crore as on 31 Dec 2021.

Returns

6 months - 61%
1 month - 41%
1 week - 11%

Investors can wait for correction and buy on dips.

Hold for long term as the outlook is extremely bullish technically.
 

Easy Trip Buy on dips



NP to Rs 41.7 cr for Q3 FY23 Dec 2022 Vs NP of Rs 40 cr PY, 

Its consolidated revenue from operations stood at Rs 136 cr against Rs 86 cr

total expenses in the third quarter were higher at Rs 82 cr compared to Rs 35 cr

Air segment clocked revenue of Rs 111 cr during the quarter Vs Rs 86 cr in the year-ago period, while hotel packages revenue stood at Rs 23 cr


..


One year - up by 27%

6 months - down by 4%

1 month down by 10%

During the year company announced 3:1 bonus issue, and 1:1 stock split

EaseMyTrip is one of India's largest online travel platforms in terms of air ticket bookings

Co offers 'End to End' travel solutions including air tickets, hotels and holiday packages, rail & bus tickets.

 

Saturday, February 25, 2023

#AdaniGroup - Date 24 Feb 2023

 #Adanigroup


Date 24th Feb 2023

While 6 scrips are still at lower circuits others are slightly better.

#AdaniTransmission down 5%
#AdaniGreen down 5%
#AdaniEnterprises down 5%
#AdaniTotalGas down 5%
#AdaniPorts traded positive up by 2%
#AdaniPower down 4.99%
#AdaniWilmar down 2%
#NDTV down 4%

The downslide likely to continue. Avoid bottom fishing as most of them appear to be in a bottomless pit.

Investors advised to stay away investing in this group for next 3-6 months and identify scrip which has strong financials once the down turn is complete.

Saturday, February 11, 2023

Adani Wilmar - Q3 FY 2023 Results Analyzed

 Adani Wilmar Limited


Q3 FY 2023 Results

Adani Wilmar NSE -0.86 %'s consolidated net profit rose 16% to Rs 246 crore for the three months ended December 2022. The same was Rs 211 crore in the corresponding period of last year.

Revenue from operations increased 7% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 15,438 crore in the December quarter. It was Rs 14,370 crore in the year-ago period.

Segment-wise, the company recorded 26% growth in edible oils volume, while revenues from the same grew 4% YoY to Rs 12,581 crore.

Revenues from the Food and FMCG segment rose 45% to Rs 1,020 crore against Rs 703 crore in the same quarter last year. This segment contributed 15% by volume to the overall sales and delivered 27% volume growth in the third quarter.

The company has reported an EBITDA of Rs 623 crore during the quarter under review, higher by 23% year-on-year. Currently, the company has no outstanding long-term debt as on December 2022.




While the scrip has lost 24% during last 1 month, it lost 34% in last 6 months but on yearly basis it gained 15%.
There is lot of bad news about Adani Group and it is better to stay away till clarity emerges. Any declines to Rs.350 should be considered as buying opportunity only for long term investors.
Avoid

Friday, February 10, 2023

Rail Stocks - 1 year returns analyzed

Performance of the stocks in the last 12 months / 1 year

#IRFC

During the month the scrip gained 30 %

#IRCTC

During the month the scrip lost 23%

#Rites

During the month the scrip gained 27 %

#IRCON

During the month the scrip gained 23 %

#RVNL

During the month the scrip gained 103 %

The short term outlook continues to be bullish and investors should look at dips to buy and add to their portfolio.




Rail Stocks - 6 Months Returns Analyzed

 Performance of the stocks in the last 6 months 


#IRFC

During the month the scrip gained 41 %


#IRCTC

During the month the scrip lost 3%


#Rites

During the month the scrip gained 23 %


#IRCON

During the month the scrip gained 42 %


#RVNL

During the month the scrip gained 131 %

The short term outlook continues to be bullish and investors should look at dips to buy and add to their portfolio.



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Rail Stocks - One month review

 #smartinvestor

@SmartInvestor

#Railstocks

#IRFC

#IRCTC

#Rites

#IRCON

#RVNL


Here is a quick review of the performance of top 5 listed Railway stocks 


Performance of the stocks in the last 1 month 


#IRFC

During the month the scrip  lost -6%


#IRCTC

During the month the scrip gained 2 %


#Rites

During the month the scrip gained 2 %


#IRCON

During the month the scrip lost  7%


#RVNL

During the month the scrip gained 2.77 %


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Tuesday, September 13, 2022

Amararaja Batteries Limited - Buy on dips


In Q1FY23, the company registered a consolidated net profit of ₹132.01 crore compared to ₹124.10 crore in Q1FY22. Revenue from operations stood at ₹2,620.53 crore in Q1FY23 against ₹1,886.17 crore in the same quarter last year. 

The company witnessed robust demand in the automotive sector from the aftermarket as well as 4-Wheeler and 2-Wheeler OEM segments. Industrial battery volumes have shown healthy growth, especially in the UPS and telecom segments.

Amara Raja Batteries is engaged in the Indian lead acid battery market with a strong presence across automotive (OEM, aftermarket) and industrial battery space (UPS, telecom, solar, etc).

Research analyst Nilesh Patil at Chola Wealth said, "Amara Raja Batteries has over the years built a strong franchise for itself in lead acid batteries market with extensive growth in after-market business.

In the recent past, the industry-specific headwinds and issues at the company level have weighed on the financial performance. With a revival in automotive demand the company is expected to report improved performance hereon."


"At CMP, the stock trades below its historical average at 13.7x FY23E & 11.6x FY24E. The strong guidance, reviving product demand & inherent growth structure of the company validates the BUY rating on the stock with a target price of ₹700," Patil added.
Source - www.mint.com



Monday, May 30, 2022

Textile Stocks - Buy on dips

Textiles stocks are back in demand and buying is seen across Vardhman, Himatsingka, ABFRL, ICIL and Welspun. Buy on declines will give decent returns.


We do not expect price spikes in few weeks, but long term can start buying on all dips and accumulate.

Saturday, February 19, 2022

Sona Comstar - Buy on declines

Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (“MSSL” or the “Company”) is one of the world’s leading specialized automotive component manufacturing companies for OEMs. MSSL is a focused, dynamic, and progressive company providing customers with innovative and value-added products, services, and solutions. With a diverse global customer base of nearly all leading automobile manufacturers globally, the Company has a presence in 41 countries across five continents.

DEMERGER

On July 02, 2020, board of directors of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (MSSL) and Samvardhana Motherson International Limited (SAMIL) has approved the reorganization of business which entails demerger of the domestic wiring harness business from MSSL into a new company, with a similar shareholding structure as that of MSSL and subsequent merger of SAMIL into MSSL.

Step 1: Demerger of DWH business of the Company into New Co., which will eventually be listed, with mirror shareholding as that of the Company. For every 1 share held in MSSL, 1 share of New Co. would be allotted

Step 2: Merger of SAMIL, the principal holding company of Motherson Group and promoter of MSSL, into MSSL.  MSSL will be renamed as Samvardhana Motherson International Limited

In the proposed reorganisation, two growth focused listed companies will emerge.

[1] Motherson Sumi Wiring India Ltd. (MSWIL) will be the largest listed automotive wiring harness player in India with a nationwide manufacturing footprint. MSWIL will benefit from the continued parentage of MSSL along with an increased focus from Sumitomo Wiring Systems, Japan (SWS) to cater to the fast-growing Indian automotive market. Also, MSWIL will bring in exciting new solutions for electric vehicle offerings from its customers.

[2] Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd. (MSSL) combined with the business of Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (SAMIL) creates a solid platform to achieve its stated Vision 2025. The Company will fully own its international business Samvardhana Motherson Automotive Systems Group BV (SMRPBV); which not only results in a simplification of the group structure and enhanced cash flows; but also, further diversifies MSSL’s revenue and product mix by addition of products like automotive lighting, shock absorbers, sheet metal, HVAC etc in line with its 3CX10 strategy.

INVESTMENT RATIONALE

Leading Automotive Component Player

The Company is one of the leading automotive component companies globally and a tier-I supplier of wiring harness, rear-view vision systems, interior and exterior modules to large global auto OEMs such as the Volkswagen Group (VW Group) and Mercedes Benz/Daimler. 

The Company has a healthy market position in terms of global presence as well as share of business of its products. The Company’s polymer business (SMP) is a leading supplier of bumpers, cockpit assemblies and door trims in the premium segment with a sizeable global market share. Samvardhana Motherson Reflectec (SMR), the Company’s mirrors business, enjoys a dominant global market share for exterior mirrors.

Well-Diversified Business Profile

The Company has a diversified automotive product portfolio of automotive vision systems, wiring harnesses, polymer-based auto components, tooling, metal machining and elastomers spanning key automotive markets globally. Aided by the acquisition of PKC Group (in FY2017) and Samvardhana Motherson Reydel Company (SMRC; in FY2019), the Company’s revenue dependence on the European OEMs and the Volkswagen (VW) Group (~30% in FY2021) has moderated.  

The Company has a widespread geographical footprint, with plants located across geographies. Over the years, it has set up manufacturing facilities in close proximity to OEM plants, thereby integrating into an OEM’s supply chain, offering just-in-time (JIT) logistics. This has helped the Company to gain new businesses and maintain a healthy order book.

Strong in-house Product Development Capabilities

The competition in the automotive industry remains high; nevertheless, aided by its in-house product development capabilities and technical collaborations (Sumitomo Wiring Systems Ltd. for wiring harness), the Company has emerged as a preferred solution provider to its customers and has sustained a strong market position over the years. The Company’s product portfolio remains agnostic to internal combustion engines, hybrids and electric vehicles (EVs), thereby limiting any risk arising from a prospective transition towards electrical mobility, going forward. The Company is deriving a significant proportion of its order book from new EV orders, which offers comfort regarding its ability to keep up with evolving technological trends.

Standalone Business on Strong Footing

The India Wiring Harness business is likely to grow faster than the PV industry, led by an increase in content (due to ongoing premiumization). BS-6 has increased the complexity of wiring harnesses and increased the value by 10–20%. Also, it has opened 2W segment for the Company, as 2Ws shift to electronic fuel injection systems with more sensors. The Company is already market leader in 2W wiring harness in the EU.

Business Reorganization to Drive Better Value

The proposed structure would create two listed entities – a) India Wiring Harness business and b) Global businesses + other India businesses. This is likely to drive better value discovery of the global business and also give the minority shareholder the option of investing in either or both of the businesses.

The Company’s management has a track record of pursuing an inorganic growth strategy, which is expected to continue and has been outlined by the management as per its Vision 2025. Most of its acquisitions are customer-backed, with the management being primarily successful in turning around these entities. Aided by its past acquisitions, the Company has been able to enhance its operational profile significantly over the years, as reflected by strong synergies within the Company, in terms of centralized procurement as well as a large product basket. This helped the Company remain cost-competitive and a preferred solution provider for its customers.

 

The Company is likely to witness significant improvement in financial performance as supply issues relating to semiconductor eases from Q4FY22 and this will also lead to operating leverage benefits Company’s green field capacities ramp up production. Further, strong order book coupled sizeable proportion of orders from EV and hybrid models indicates potential of healthy revenue stream. Under the ongoing business reorganisation exercise, the relatively higher margin DWH business will be demerged, and the various businesses housed under SAMIL offers significant revenue growth and diversification potential and are likely to contribute materially to the Company’s consolidated profile over a longer term.

Source - www.sanasecurities.com 

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